The crucial Australian Q2 (April - June quarter) CPI data is due in Australia on Wednesday 30 July at 11.30 am Sydney time:
0230 GMT2130 US Eastern time (on Tuesday July 29)Expectations can bee seen in the screen shot below from investing Live's economic calendar:
The 'trimmed mean', a core (underlying) measure of inflation will be closely eyed. Expectations are for a steady rate q/q, and while not pictured above, expectations for the y/y I have seen centre on a small dip, to 2.7%. I'd suggest that if the trimmed mean y/y does not dip then the Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to remain on hold at its next meeting, on August 11 and 12. A more difficult target could be 2.6% y/y, which is the RBA forecast (around 0.55% q/q).
Via Commonwealth Bank of Australia:
focus will centre on the all-important quarterly inflation printWe expect headline CPI rose by 0.8%/qtr in Q2 25, easing the annual rate to 2.2%/yr The more policy relevant trimmed mean CPI is expected to have increased by 0.7%/qtr which would see the annual rate dip only marginally to 2.8%/yr - but rounding could see a 0.7%/qtr and 2.7%CBA is expecting a cut at the August RBA meeting:
base case remains for a 25bp rate cut given the annual trimmed mean inflation continues to moderate. Market pricing for an August rate cut is over 100%. But it is not a done deal. We expect another rate cut in November the risk of an additional cut in early 2026 This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.Hence then, the article about australian inflation data due this week wednesday is a huge event for the rba outlook was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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