There are less than 2 months before Week 1 of the college football season, making it a great time to ask the question: Who will have the best offense in the SEC in 2025?
There are many ways to measure offense, but I prefer yards-per-play. Some will point to points per game as more indicative, but things like red-zone outcomes and tempo can distort how many points are scored in a given game. EPA is more advanced, but it can also be pretty heavily weighted by flukey plays and turnovers, making it difficult to predict. Yards-per-play is more sustainable and does a great job of capturing down-to-down efficiency all over the field.
SEC football predictions: Who will have the best offense in 2025?
We’ll consider things like returning production, quarterback ability and recent track records when compiling this list. With that in mind, here’s an attempt at predicting the best offenses in the SEC this fall:
No. 5: Arkansas
Bobby Petrino certainly has his critics, but his system works. Arkansas finished last season 3rd in the SEC in yards per play despite being at a pretty significant talent deficit compared to most of the league. The Hogs were dead last in the SEC in yards per play in 2023, the year before Petrino returned to Fayetteville.
Sam Pittman has surrounded quarterback Taylen Green with an army of transfers this offseason, specifically at receiver and offensive line. Maybe they won’t jell and this turns out to be a tough season in Fayetteville, but I’m not betting against Green and Petrino. I’d also circle running back Braylen Russell as someone who could have a breakout season as he steps into a starting role.
No. 4: Ole Miss
Ole Miss led the SEC with 7.33 yards per play last season. The Rebels have been in the top-5 of this category in each of the last 3 seasons and have improved in each year of the Lane Kiffin era so far. But with Jaxson Dart now in the NFL, I think Ole Miss will take a small step back this fall and will likely be under 7 yards per play. But as long as Ole Miss stays above 6.25 yards a snap, it should have no problem cracking the top-5.
Austin Simmons has been impressive in spots for Ole Miss in previous years and should do a fine job of filling in for Dart. The Rebels’ wide receiver room is a bit of a wildcard with so many transfers and the O-line will have some new faces as well. I think Ole Miss takes a step back from what it was in 2024 but Kiffin has earned enough goodwill over the years to keep the Rebels in the top-5.
No. 3: LSU
Last season, LSU had a first-year starting quarterback in Garrett Nussmeier, a true freshman starting running back and a lackluster wide receiver room (particularly by LSU’s standards) and still averaged about 6.2 yards per play. That wasn’t quite good enough to crack the top-5 last season, but it was close (6.26 yards would have been enough).
This year, LSU returns Nussmeier and Caden Durham and has more proven wide receiver transfers in Barion Brown and Nic Anderson. LSU ranks No. 2 in the entire country in offensive returning production, per ESPN’s Bill Connelly. It will also be Year 2 for Joe Sloan as the play-caller. I think we could see LSU take a significant step forward on offense this year.
No. 2: Texas
What’s there to say that hasn’t already been said about Arch Manning? Steve Spurrier says he’s overrated because he couldn’t beat out a hobbled Quinn Ewers last year. Paul Finebaum says he’s the best college QB since Tim Tebow. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle. If reality tilts toward Finebaum, though, Texas is going to have an elite offense in 2025.
This is more of a risky call than it may initially appear. Steve Sarkisian has the reputation of an elite play-caller, and maybe he is. But the Longhorns were 6th in the SEC last season with a veteran quarterback and multiple NFL wide receivers. A Sarkisian offense hasn’t averaged 7 yards per play since he was at Alabama in 2020. With Manning in the backfield flanked by 5-star receivers and a healthier running back room, 7 yards is a realistic target for the Longhorns in 2025.
No. 1: Alabama
This is a big bet on the tandem of Kalen DeBoer and Ryan Grubb. The Crimson Tide had an explosive offense last season, but too many negative plays held them back from being truly elite on a down-to-down basis. I think that changes in 2025 even with some uncertainty at the quarterback position. Regardless of who begins the season as Alabama’s starter (I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s Austin Mack despite an early lead from Ty Simpson), Alabama should have a hyper-efficient offense this season.
It starts with Ryan Williams and Miami transfer Isaiah Horton at receiver, but Germie Bernard should be in position for a big year as well. The Tide are deep at running back and have an experienced offensive line. Most importantly, I believe in the track record for DeBoer and Grubb, who produced an offense that averaged over 7 yards per play the last time they worked together in 2023.
Just missed the cut: Auburn, Florida
Predicting the SEC’s 5 best offenses in 2025 Saturday Down South.
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