Look ahead to the final game in the round of 16 at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup with our Borussia Dortmund vs Monterrey prediction and preview.
Dortmund vs Monterrey Stats: The Key Insights
Borussia Dortmund are strong favourites to progress from this tie, winning inside 90 minutes in 64.6% of the Opta supercomputer’s latest 10,000 simulations. Dortmund are unbeaten in 10 straight matches in all competitions (W8 D2). Monterrey have progressed from just two of their seven knockout-stage games at the FIFA Club World Cup.Two unbeaten sides at the 2025 Club World Cup face off in the final game of the last 16, with the winner earning a heavyweight quarter-final clash against either Real Madrid or Juventus.
As many expected, Borussia Dortmund topped Group F at the tournament, winning two and drawing one of their three group games. But they’ve yet to truly impress. They opened with a goalless stalemate against Fluminense, survived a thrilling 4-3 battle with Mamelodi Sundowns, and edged past Ulsan HD 1-0 in their final match.
Still, results are results, and Dortmund arrive in this tie unbeaten in 10 consecutive matches across all competitions (W8 D2).
Jobe Bellingham, 19, set up Dortmund’s winner against Ulsan HD, having scored in his first start for the club against Mamelodi Sundowns. He is the first teenager to register a goal contribution in each of his first two starts for Dortmund since his older brother Jude, who achieved the feat at 17 years old in September 2020.
Monterrey, meanwhile, conceded just once en route to qualifying from Group E behind Inter. They held the Serie A giants to a battling 1-1 draw on Matchday 1, followed by a 0-0 stalemate with River Plate. A convincing 4-0 victory over Urawa Red Diamonds sealed their place in the knockout stage.
This will be the 14th meeting between a team from Mexico and a European team at the FIFA Club World Cup, with the European teams going unbeaten (W10 D3).
European sides have won 10 of the last 11 meetings, but the exception was Monterrey’s 1-1 draw with UEFA Champions League finalists Inter in the group stage of this year’s tournament.
Monterrey have, however, progressed from just two of their seven knockout-stage games at the Club World Cup, beating Ulsan HD 3-1 in the 2012 quarter-finals and Al Sadd 3-2 in the 2019 quarter-finals.
Dortmund vs Monterrey Prediction
The Opta supercomputer makes Borussia Dortmund the clear favourites in this tie, with BVB victorious inside 90 minutes in 64.6% of the latest 10,000 simulations.
Monterrey won in regulation time in 16.3% of the sims, while 19.1% required extra-time and potentially penalties.
When extra-time and penalties are taken into consideration, Dortmund went through 74.9% of the time in total. Monterrey’s probability of reaching the quarter-finals is 25.1%.
Dortmund vs Monterrey Squads
Borussia DortmundGregor Kobel, Yan Couto, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Giovanni Reyna, Felix Nmecha, Serhou Guirassy, Julian Brandt, Pascal Groß, Maximilian Beier, Julien Duranville, Carney Chukwuemeka, Marcel Sabitzer, Daniel Svensson, Niklas Süle, Julian Ryerson, Karim Adeyemi, Silas Ostrzinski, Alexander Meyer, Cole Campbell, Kjell Wätjen, Filippo Mané, Samuele Inacio, Mathis Albert, Almugera Kabar, Jamie Gittens, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Ayman Azhil, Elias Benkara, Jobe Bellingham
Head Coach: Niko Kovač
Monterrey
Esteban Andrada, Ricardo Chávez, Gerardo Arteaga, Víctor Guzmán, Fidel Ambríz, Nelson Deossa, Germán Berterame, Óliver Torres, Sergio Canales, Alfonso Alvarado, Carlos Salcedo, Érick Aguirre, Héctor Moreno, Johan Rojas, Jesús Manuel Corona, Jordi Cortizo, Alfonso González, Luis Reyes, Luis Cárdenas, Gustavo Sánchez, Santiago Mele, Lucas Ocampos, Jorge Rodríguez, Roberto de la Rosa, Tony Leone, Stefan Medina, Joaquín Moxica, Iker Fimbres, Santiago Pérez, Sergio Ramos.
Head Coach: Domènec Torrent
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both sides.
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Dortmund vs Monterrey Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Last 16 Preview Opta Analyst.
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