Group B at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup features PSG, Atlético Madrid, Botafogo and Seattle Sounders. Who will qualify for the last 16?
Newly crowned European champions Paris Saint-Germain will have the opportunity to assert their dominance on a global scale with their participation in the overhauled FIFA Club World Cup this summer.
The Parisians are regarded by the Opta supercomputer as narrow favourites to win the competition, which boasts a potential payday of up to $125million for the victors.
Luis Enrique’s men are joined in Group B by fellow European side Atlético Madrid, as well as reigning Copa Libertadores champions Botafogo, and Seattle Sounders, who are one of three MLS sides taking part in the tournament being hosted in the United States.
FIFA Club World Cup Group B Predictions: The Quick Stats
UEFA Champions League winners Paris Saint-Germain are favourites to add the Club World Cup to their trophy cabinet (18.5%). With PSG as Group B’s dominant side, they are deemed most likely to be joined in the next round by Atlético Madrid, who have a 73.7% chance of progressing from the group. Seattle Sounders (19.1%) or Botafogo (15.6%) are considered outsiders to finish inside the group’s top two places.Paris Saint-Germain haven’t exactly been regarded as European football’s most popular institution in recent times, but there has been a remarkable swing in their general perception this season, and the reaction to their lifting of the UEFA Champions League was largely a positive one.
The club has shifted from a squad that was top-heavy with unfettered superstardom in its previous iteration and, under manager Luis Enrique, has become a team with players of equal stature spread all across the pitch.
They were the second-youngest side on average across Europe’s top five leagues in 2024-25, and have just become the second-youngest team to win the Champions League, after Ajax in 1994-95. They did so with a 5-0 win over Inter in the final in Munich, the biggest victory ever in a European Cup/UEFA Champions League final.
Less is more, more or less, and this holistic approach can be considered the main factor in their change of fortunes on the European stage. PSG are now favourites to maximise a trophy-laden year, with the Opta supercomputer putting their chances of winning the Club World Cup at 18.5%, marginally ahead of Manchester City (17.8%).
The first Club World Cup match of this new format to see two European sides play against each other will be PSG’s game against Atlético Madrid in Pasadena on 15 June.
Atlético qualified for this competition by virtue of being the sixth-best-ranked eligible team in the UEFA four-year ranking, which doesn’t satisfy Diego Simeone’s quest for a first trophy since 2021, but probably does please his bosses.
There were periods during the 2024-25 season in which Atlético looked as strong as they ever have done under Simeone, chiefly during a club-record 15-game winning run that stretched from October to January.
They were somewhat unfortunate to be eliminated from the Champions League by arch-rivals Real Madrid, with a now-amended law that saw a Julián Alvarez penalty ruled out due to a double touch possibly the difference.
If there was a positive story from their season, then Alvarez was it. The Argentine joined for a huge fee last summer as he left Manchester City to forge his own path – one that wasn’t filled with Erling Haaland-shaped hurdles – and he has quickly come to be regarded as arguably Atlético’s best player.
He scored 29 goals in all competitions for Atlético in 2024-25, the most by a player in their debut season for the club since Radamel Falcao in 2011-12 (36).
The Opta supercomputer puts Atlético’s chances of making it out of Group B at 73.7%, which gives them a good deal of prospective breathing room, but the challenge of Seattle Sounders and Botafogo is not to be disregarded.
The Sounders qualified for this tournament by winning the CONCACAF Champions Cup (then Champions League) in 2022, the only American side to do so since LA Galaxy in 2000, and have the fortune of playing each of their three group games at their home stadium, Lumen Field.
Currently ranked as the 175th best side in the world according to Opta’s Global Power Rankings, it is perhaps the location of their games that sees them nonetheless more likely to progress to the next round (19.1%) than Botafogo (15.6%), who rank 124th.
Botafogo are the reigning champions of both the Copa Libertadores and the Brazilian top flight, and are only the third side ever to win both competitions in the same season, after Flamengo (2019) and Pelé’s Santos (1962 and 1963).
Fogo did lose their talismanic figure from that season, Luiz Henrique, to Zenit Saint Petersburg in January, and look likely to lose further players in the coming weeks, with the trio of Igor Jesus, Cuiabano and Jair Cunha linked to Nottingham Forest.
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Club World Cup 2025: Group B Preview and Predictions Opta Analyst.
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