Poll shows expectations are for the Reserve Bank of Australia to stay on hold next week ...Middle East

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Poll shows expectations are for the Reserve Bank of Australia to stay on hold next week

The latest poll on the Reserve Bank of Australia from Reuters, in brief:

RBA to hold steady in April: All 39 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to keep the cash rate at 4.10% on April 1.

    Two cuts expected in 2025: Median forecast sees 25 bps cuts in May and September, bringing the rate to 3.60% by Q3.

    Cautious easing approach: RBA is likely to cut gradually due to still-elevated core inflation (3.2%), low unemployment, and recovering growth.

    May cut hinges on inflation data: Around 75% of economists expect a cut in May, pending Q1 inflation results.

    Major banks aligned on April: ANZ, CBA, NAB, and Westpac all expect rates to remain unchanged next week but differ on the pace and depth of easing.

    Market pricing in line: Interest rate futures broadly reflect the poll's expectations.

    RBA wary of over-easing: Analysts say the RBA is aware that deep rate cuts could reignite inflation due to ongoing supply constraints.

    The RBA statement will be at 2.30 pm Sydney time on April 1:

    0330 GMT2330 US Eastern time

    Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock's new conference will follow an hour after.

    Earlier:

    Westpac sees April RBA meeting as ‘dead rubber’, still eyes May rate cut This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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