Super Bowl 59 Player Props: Best Over/Under Bets for Super Bowl ...Middle East

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Super Bowl 59 Player Props: Best Over/Under Bets for Super Bowl

As Super Bowl LIX nears, football fans and bettors alike are eagerly analyzing player props to find value in the year’s biggest game. This year’s Super Bowl, featuring the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, will take place on February 9, 2025, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

Player props—bets placed on individual performances—have become increasingly popular, offering opportunities to wager on everything from passing yards to touchdowns and receptions. Below, we break down some of the best over/under bets for Super Bowl 59 based on player trends, recent performances, and matchups.

    1. Jalen Hurts Total Passing Yards (O/U 200.5 yards)

    Prediction: Over

    Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has established himself as a dynamic dual-threat passer, but his passing yardage has fluctuated in big games. The over/under for his passing yards in Super Bowl 59 is set around 200.5 yards at most sportsbooks.

    Hurts averaged 219.5 passing yards per game during the 2024 regular season. He has gone over 200 passing yards in 12 of 17 games this season. The Chiefs’ defense allowed an average of 216.3 passing yards per game in the regular season.

    Kansas City’s defense, led by Chris Jones and L’Jarius Sneed, has been strong, but Hurts may be forced to throw more if the Eagles fall behind. If the game script favors Philadelphia playing from behind, the over becomes an attractive play.

    Nov 3, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts to Saquon Barkley (not pictured) touchdown run against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

    2. Saquon Barkley Total Touchdowns (O/U 1.5 TDs)

    Prediction: Over

    Philadelphia’s biggest offseason acquisition, Saquon Barkley, has been a major factor in the Eagles’ offense, especially in the red zone. Sportsbooks are offering odds of +280 for Barkley to score two or more touchdowns in the game.

    Barkley has scored 13 total touchdowns this season (rushing & receiving). He has scored multiple TDs in 5 games this year. The Chiefs allowed the 10th-most rushing TDs (15) this season.

    If Philadelphia emphasizes a ground attack to control the clock and keep Patrick Mahomes off the field, Barkley could see plenty of scoring opportunities, making the over 1.5 touchdowns a strong bet.

    Oct 27, 2024; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) reacts after quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) scores a touchdown against the Cincinnati Bengals in the second half at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

    3. Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Touchdowns (O/U 2.5 TDs)

    Prediction: Over

    Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes is widely regarded as the best quarterback in the NFL, especially in the postseason. With an over/under of 2.5 passing touchdowns, this prop bet hinges on whether Mahomes can find the end zone at least three times through the air.

    Mahomes has averaged 2.3 passing TDs per game in the 2024 season. He has thrown 3+ TDs in 7 games this year, including the playoffs. The Eagles’ secondary gave up 31 passing TDs in the regular season (ranked 30th in the NFL).

    Given Philadelphia’s struggles in pass coverage this year, Mahomes could exploit their weaknesses, especially if the game turns into a shootout. Betting on over 2.5 passing TDs looks like a strong option.

    4. Travis Kelce Total Receiving Yards (O/U 75.5 yards)

    Prediction: Over

    Chiefs’ tight end Travis Kelce is Mahomes’ most trusted target, particularly in high-pressure situations. His receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards, which he has surpassed multiple times in past playoff games.

    Kelce has averaged 68.3 receiving yards per game this season. In his last three Super Bowls, he has recorded 81, 133, and 93 yards. The Eagles allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends (1,098 yards) this season.

    Considering Kelce’s playoff dominance and the Eagles’ struggles against tight ends, this could be one of the best over bets on the board.

    Dec 21, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) celebrates with quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) after Mahomes’ touchdown against the Houston Texans during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images

    5. A.J. Brown Total Receptions (O/U 5.5 catches

    Prediction: Over

    Philadelphia wide receiver A.J. Brown is one of the most physical and productive receivers in the NFL. His total receptions prop is set at 5.5, which he has hit frequently throughout the season.

    Brown averaged 6.4 receptions per game during the regular season. He has caught 6+ passes in 11 of 17 games this year. The Chiefs’ secondary allows an average of 12.7 receptions per game to WRs.

    If the Eagles fall behind and need to throw, Brown could be heavily targeted, making over 5.5 catches a solid bet.

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