Celtics vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Houston Rockets (30-14) are 6.5-point underdogs against the Boston Celtics (32-14) at TD Garden on Monday, January 27, 2025. The game begins at 7:30 PM ET on SCHN and NBCS-BOS. The matchup has an over/under set at 221.5 points.

Celtics vs. Rockets Odds

Celtics odds to win: -275 Rockets odds to win: +225 Spread: Celtics (-6.5) Total: 221.5

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Rockets

Game Time and Information

When: Monday, January 27, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts TV: SCHN and NBCS-BOS

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Rockets?

Celtics and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics have a 14-23-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.

The Rockets are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or greater this season.

These two teams average a combined 231.5 points per game, 10.0 more points than the total of 221.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 216.7 points per game, 4.8 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.

The average total in Celtics games this season is 6.2 more points than the over/under of 221.5 in this game.

The average point total for Houston this year is 1.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Boston has put together a 19-26-1 record against the spread.

The Rockets are 26-17-1 ATS this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +411 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.0 points per game. They’re putting up 117.3 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are giving up 108.3 per outing to rank fifth in the NBA.

The Celtics rank 10th in the league at 45.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.6 their opponents average.

Boston makes 17.8 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 36.4% rate (13th in the NBA), compared to the 12.7 per game its opponents make at a 35.0% rate.

The Celtics rank third in the league by averaging 116.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are sixth in the NBA, allowing 107.4 points per 100 possessions.

In 2024-25, the Celtics’ offense has been better at home, where they score 118.0 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 116.5 per game. On defense, they have been worse in home games, where they allow 109.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to score 107.3 per game.

Rockets Stats & Insights

The Rockets’ +256 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 114.2 points per game (13th in NBA) while giving up 108.4 per outing (sixth in league).

The 48.4 rebounds per game Houston accumulates rank first in the league, 5.4 more than the 43.0 its opponents grab.

The Rockets hit 12.3 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league) at a 34.3% rate (27th in NBA), compared to the 12.6 their opponents make, shooting 36.2% from deep.

The Rockets’ 110.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in the NBA, and the 106.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fourth in the league.

Houston is putting up fewer points at home (112.4 per game) than on the road (116.0).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Jayson Tatum puts up 27.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, with 5.4 assists.

Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.6 per contest.

Tatum averages 1.3 takeaways per game, while Derrick White records 1.2 rejections per contest.

Rockets Key Players to Watch

Jalen Green puts up 21.3 points per game. He also contributes 4.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game this season.

This season, Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.2 points, 5.0 assists and 10.5 rebounds per game.

Green averages 2.9 made threes per game.

Fred VanVleet’s 1.7 steals and Amen Thompson’s 1.1 blocks per game are important to the Rockets’ defensive effort.