Alabama vs. USF 17-3 Win

On a sometimes rainy, sometimes sunny day in Florida, No. 10 Alabama beat Group of Five opponent USF by a final score of 17-3 in a sluggish game that featured weather delays, quarterback changes and plenty of other surprises.

The Crimson Tide started Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner under center for the first time this season, replacing Jalen Milroe who started the first two games. Buchner completed just five of his 14 pass attempts for 34 yards, before being pulled in favor of redshirt freshman Ty Simpson just before halftime.

SportsLine consensus lists the Crimson Tide as 34-point favorites for this 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 61 in the latest Alabama vs. South Florida odds. Before making any USF vs. Alabama picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

In 2022, the Bulls’ only victory of the season was against Howard. In 2021, South Florida went 2-11 with victories against Florida A&M and Temple. In 2020, South Florida was 1-8 with a win against The Citadel.

South Florida opened this season with a 41-24 loss to Western Kentucky and then struggled last week in a victory against Florida A&M.

That’s five total victories since the pandemic and three of them were against teams in a lower division. In ancient days, when the Greeks sacrificed oxen to the gods, South Florida’s football program might have been described as a hecatomb of the horrendous.

South Florida's offense has not had much sustained success, other than when cornerback Kool-Aid McKinstry couldn't scoop up a punt and the Bulls recovered the ball deep in Alabama territory.

Neither team has had much success on third down. Before the lightning delay, Alabama was 1-for-5, while South Florida went 2-for-6.

If Saturday’s game proved anything it’s that the quarterback competition moving forward should be between Ty Simpson and Jalen Milroe. While Simpson didn’t look like a game-changer, he did manage the offense well and distributed the ball effectively. Buchner played his way out of the competition, in my opinion, leaving it between Simpson and Milroe.

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Sarah H

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