How Not to Predict the 2024 Election ...Middle East

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How Not to Predict the 2024 Election
Ten months before the first Republicans have the chance to vote for a 2024 nominee, and still weeks away before many candidates (including Ron DeSantis) formally enter the fray, the GOP presidential race has already reached its breathless, heart-racing stage.Every new national poll is over-hyped with such headlines as, “Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis loses lead in 2024 GOP race, now trails Donald Trump, poll finds.” Republican insiders brood about a certain former president: “GOP grapples with how to control Trump—again” read a recent CNN headline. And dark-horse putative candidates are getting their moment in the sun. A Politico profile of New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu featured the cover l

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