The 2026-27 qualifying offer is going to be $23.15MM, according to Joel Sherman of The New York Post.
The value of the one-year QO changes annually because it is the average of the salaries of the 125 highest-paid players in the league. Salaries usually rise over time, so the QO ticks up in kind. Here is the recent trajectory of the QO…
2012-13: $13.3MM 2013-14: $14.4MM (8.3% increase from the year prior) 2014-15: $15.3MM (6.3%) 2015-16: $15.8MM (3.3%) 2016-17: $17.2MM (8.9%) 2017-18: $17.4MM (1.2%) 2018-19: $17.9MM (2.9%) 2019-20: $17.8MM (-0.6%) 2020-21: $18.9MM (6.2%) 2021-22: $18.4MM (-2.6%) 2022-23: $19.65MM (6.8%) 2023-24: $20.325MM (3.4%) 2024-25: $21.05MM (4.6%) 2025-26: $22.025MM (4.6%) 2026-27: $23.15MM (5.1%%)Since the QO is based on salary information which is mostly publicly available, it can also be roughly calculated ahead of time, though some contracts have bonuses that can be added during the season, which could swell the final QO number slightly. Back in June, MLBTR contributor Ethan Hullihen estimated the QO value would likely end up around $23.1MM. It has since ticked up by $50K.
A team can extend a QO to one of its impending free agents as long as the player spent the entire season on that team and has not previously received a QO in his career. If the player rejects the QO and signs elsewhere, the previous team receives draft pick compensation. The signing team is subject to draft penalties and perhaps international bonus pool penalties as well. If the player accepts the QO or re-signs with his previous club on a new deal, no penalties or compensation are applied.
Teams have until five days after the World Series to decide whether or not to extend a QO to a player. The players then have until a set date, usually about 10-12 days later, to decide whether or not to accept. They are considered free agents during that window and are allowed to have contract discussions with all teams. Last year, 13 players received a QO and four accepted. MLBTR recently looked at some hitters and pitchers who could receive the QO this year.
Photo courtesy of Susan Tompor, Imagn Images
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