Can Chelsea Return to the Top of the WSL? The Key Questions Ahead of 2026-27 ...Middle East

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From winning a domestic treble in 2024-25 to finishing outside the WSL’s top two for the first time since 2018-19, Chelsea head into the 2026-27 campaign in unfamiliar territory. We examine the biggest talking points ahead of the new WSL season.

For six successive seasons, Chelsea made winning the Women’s Super League look almost routine. That sense of inevitability disappeared last season, as they finished outside the top two for the first time since 2018-19.

That raises a clear question ahead of the 2026-27 WSL season: was this simply a bump in the road, or are the foundations of Chelsea’s domestic dominance beginning to wobble?

A summer of significant change has only added to that uncertainty. Chelsea are arguably in the midst of their biggest rebuild for more than a decade.

Having said all that, the Opta supercomputer remains firmly in their corner. Despite the scale of the turnover, Chelsea are predicted to win in 40.2% of the supercomputer’s 10,000 simulations, with a 70.3% chance of qualifying for Europe.

Here are the biggest talking points as we approach the start of the new domestic season.

Can Chelsea Rediscover Their Cutting Edge?

Chelsea’s return of 44 goals in the WSL last season was still the third most in the division, behind only Arsenal (53) and Manchester City (62). But, by their standards, it represented a drop-off. It was the club’s lowest count in a league campaign since 2017-18.

What makes that decline particularly alarming is that chance creation was not necessarily a problem.

Chelsea created 50 ‘big chances’ (those from which a player would be expected to score) across the season, the second-highest total they have recorded in a WSL campaign behind only the 77 they managed in 2023-24. Their expected goals total of 46.5 was also only fractionally below their 48.7 xG from their dominant 2024-25 season. But the issue came in front of goal.

Their big-chance conversion rate of 37.9% was Chelsea’s fifth lowest in a WSL season and their poorest since 2018-19 (37.3%), while their overall shot conversion rate of 11.2% was their lowest in eight seasons.

They lacked a clinical edge, and the absence of a reliable goalscorer proved costly.

Indeed, Chelsea’s leading scorers last season, Sandy Baltimore, Kerr and Millie Bright has retired, while Kerr, Aggie Beever-Jones (0.73) had a better goals-per-90 rate among Chelsea players with 200+ WSL minutes in 2024-25 than Macario (0.68).

Who Will Step Up?

If Chelsea are to return to the top of the WSL, the spotlight is likely to fall on Melvine Malard arrived from Manchester United having scored 15 WSL goals over the past three seasons. During that period, only Ella Toone (63) created more chances than Malard’s 48.

The French forward offers Chelsea both goal threat and creativity, qualities they needed to replace following a summer of notable attacking departures.

Esther González (13) finding the net more often. She also ranked second in the league for goal involvements (15) and created more big chances than any other player in the competition, underlining her ability to both create and finish opportunities.

Alongside Matsukubo, Chelsea have invested in another of the game’s brightest young talents in

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