The Colorado Rockies roll into Busch Stadium, trying to find their footing after a busy trade deadline. They shipped out several pieces to restock the farm system, ushering in a youth movement that guarantees more growing pains. Colorado has dropped seven of its last 10 games, capped off by a 3-1 loss to the Padres where the bats managed just six hits. First pitch is scheduled for 6:15 p.m. MT.
The St. Louis Cardinals are dealing with their own identity crisis. Hovering around the break-even point at 57-58, they also operated as sellers at the deadline and have matched Colorado’s struggles over the last few weeks, going 7-13 over its last 20 games and entering this one following a 4-2 defeat to the Cubs.
To hang around in this one, the Rockies have to wake up offensively. St. Louis still tallied 10 hits in their recent loss despite the lack of run production, meaning Colorado’s pitching must navigate traffic and give their own lineup a fighting chance in a battle between two reeling clubs.
The Breakdown
The starting pitching matchup tonight features Ryan Feltner taking the mound for the Rockies, squaring off against Kyle Leahy for the Cardinals.
Feltner holds a 5.73 season ERA, but his recent performance tells the real story. Over his last 10 outings, spanning 50.2 innings, he is surrendering a glaring 2.13 home runs and nearly 10 hits per nine innings, pushing his ERA to an ugly 6.22 during that stretch. He did battle through six innings to earn a win against the Royals recently, but averaging barely five innings a start puts immense pressure on the rest of the roster. He struggles to put hitters away efficiently and is highly prone to the big inning.
Leahy, conversely, is putting together a solid campaign. Across his last 10 starts for St. Louis, the right-hander has posted a 2.58 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 52.1 innings of work. He suppresses damage better than almost anyone in their rotation right now, allowing just 0.69 home runs per nine and holding opponents to a .232 average.
Despite their overall record, Colorado is actually swinging the bat reasonably well, averaging 5.4 runs and nine hits over their last 10 games. St. Louis has gone completely cold, producing a meager 3.3 runs per game with almost no power to speak of (0.70 home runs per game) over their own last 10 outings.
If Feltner can keep the ball in the yard and survive the first few frames, the Rockies have a realistic path. They need to turn this into a bullpen game early and use their recent offensive momentum to wear down Leahy.
Odds & Lines
Moneyline: Cardinals -164 / Rockies +148 Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 (+121) / Rockies +1.5 (-145) Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -116 / Under -104)Our Pick
Backing the Rockies on the road with Ryan Feltner on the mound is a tough proposition. Feltner gives up too many crooked numbers, and even if he manages to navigate five innings, he eventually has to hand the ball to a Colorado bullpen saddled with a 4.97 ERA. That spells trouble against a Cardinals team desperate for a get-right spot in their home ballpark.
St. Louis might be scuffling at the plate, but Kyle Leahy does an excellent job of keeping runners off the basepaths and limiting hard contact. Caesars is offering the Cardinals run line at -1.5 (+121), which presents solid value given the starting pitching mismatch. If you want to fade the Rockies tonight, take advantage of the Caesars promo for new users to find an edge. St. Louis is entirely capable of scratching across a couple of late runs against a vulnerable relief corps to pull away and cover the number.
Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+121)
Player Prop Pick
While the pitching mismatch dictates the side, there is value on the Colorado roster if you look at the total bases market. Outfielder Mickey Moniak just inked a two-year extension with the club, and he is playing like a guy who proving he belongs in the long-term plans.
DraftKings has Moniak’s line set at 1.5 total bases, offering +125 on the over. You want to back him here because of the platoon advantage. Kyle Leahy stifles right-handed bats, holding them to a .620 OPS, but he gets hit hard by lefties, yielding a .307 average and an .856 OPS.
Moniak steps into the box with that statistical edge and a scorching bat. Over his last 10 games, he is slugging a massive .622 while posting a .907 OPS, swatting three home runs and driving in 10. The matchup aligns perfectly for him to do some damage.
For the latest clubhouse updates and ongoing coverage of the rebuild, keep an eye on our Rockies news page.
Pick: Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
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Sportradar Content Studio contributed to this story.
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