On Tuesday, Mozilla released its first “state of open-source AI” report, which TIME viewed exclusively ahead of its publication.
As well as being a picture of the open-source ecosystem in 2026, the report is at least partially a piece of advocacy for Mozilla’s anti-concentration-of-power agenda, too, according to Raffi Krikorian, Mozilla’s chief technology officer. “I don't want seven AGIs, one for every single one of the big companies. I want seven billion AGIs,” Krikorian says, referring to artificial general intelligence. “I want us to each have an AGI that's truly on our side, not on someone else's side.”
But some of the report’s assertions are questionable. A key statistic claims that open-source capabilities are just “3.3%” behind those of closed models—a number that the report later acknowledges conceals a “jagged” frontier, where closed models far outstrip open ones in important domains. The report also claims that open models are “at parity” with closed models on coding ability, albeit behind on reasoning—even though improved reasoning capabilities generally translate into stronger coding capabilities.. And many sections of the report contain telltale signs of AI writing, including Krikorian’s foreword, which the AI detection tool Pangram flagged as “100%” AI-generated. (In an interview, Krikorian said he had written the foreword himself, though acknowledged an editor may have used AI to edit it.)
The report contains clues about how Mozilla might be planning to sustain itself if the revenue streams from Firefox dry up. “You shouldn't be surprised if in a few months you see that we've released our own harness,” Krikorian tells TIME. Surman, Mozilla’s president, says: “We're really committed to this idea of the Rebel Alliance. We're really committed to pulling together all of the different players who share that vision.”
Asked who the evil empire is in his Star Wars analogy, Surman replied: “I think the Empire is the idea of centralized, winner-takes-all tech. You have a number of companies who, that's the game they're playing.”
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