The 2026 MLB season has already produced plenty of power, and Friday’s 15-game slate gives the game’s biggest bats another chance to go deep. Aaron Judge sits at the shortest home run price on the board, Shohei Ohtani visits the most hitter-friendly park in baseball, and a handful of other sluggers come in at prices worth a real look. Below is a breakdown of the top home run odds for Friday, April 17.
Aaron Judge Home Run Odds
Judge leads the entire slate at +186 to homer against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium. He has already blasted 8 home runs in 19 games, which means he has gone deep in 36.8% of his appearances this season.
You rarely see a hitter priced this short to homer on any given night. The reason is simple. Judge is on an absurd early pace, and the short porch in right at Yankee Stadium remains one of the friendliest targets in baseball for a right-handed power hitter with opposite-field juice.
Other Yankees names to consider:
Ben Rice at +270, with 5 home runs in 18 games Giancarlo Stanton at +270 Austin Wells at +390 Cody Bellinger at +410Royals catcher Carter Jensen quietly sits at +340 after four homers in his first 17 games. He is worth a flier if you want a contrarian angle in the Bronx.
Aug 10, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees designated hitter Aaron Judge (99) watches from the dugout in the ninth inning against the Houston Astros at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn ImagesShohei Ohtani Home Run Odds at Coors Field
Ohtani checks in at +210 to hit a home run as the Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Denver to face the Colorado Rockies. He has five home runs in 17 games. The setting matters as much as the hitter here. Coors Field is the most homer-friendly ballpark in the majors. Thin air, a spacious outfield, and a Rockies pitching staff working through injuries create the kind of environment where a hitter of Ohtani’s caliber can run into something.
The Dodgers lineup is stacked top to bottom. The rest of the board looks like this:
Max Muncy at +330 Freddie Freeman at +390 Teoscar Hernandez at +470 Andy Pages at +540 Will Smith at +570Pages has been the story of Los Angeles’s hot start. He is hitting above .400 with five home runs and elite run production. His +540 price looks friendly compared to his current form, and the Coors Field boost only helps.
On the Rockies side, Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak are at +470 and +570. Both have five home runs already. Both get to hit at home against Tyler Glasnow, who can be touched up when he leaves pitches over the plate.
More Sluggers to Watch on Friday
Kyle Schwarber is the shortest non-Judge price at +240 to leave the yard. He leads the Philadelphia Phillies with six home runs and draws a home matchup with the Atlanta Braves. Schwarber strikes out a ton, but when he connects, the ball leaves quickly.
Mike Trout sits at +290 for the Los Angeles Angels against the San Diego Padres. He has 7 home runs in 19 games and looks locked in during one of his rare extended healthy runs. Pair him with teammate Zach Neto at +390 to build a stack against San Diego starter Matt Waldron.
Brandon Lowe has been one of the more underrated power hitters in baseball so far. He has 7 home runs in 17 games and comes in at +440 as the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Tampa Bay Rays.
A few other names at attractive numbers:
Matt Olson of the Atlanta Braves at +310 Francisco Alvarez of the New York Mets at +310 Ketel Marte of the Arizona Diamondbacks at +310 Sal Stewart of the Cincinnati Reds at +440 Elly De La Cruz of the Reds at +470 C.J. Abrams of the Washington Nationals at +570Abrams has six home runs in 18 games and has gone deep in 33.3% of his appearances. That hit rate makes his +570 number one of the most overlooked on the entire slate.
Jul 5, 2025; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) hits a home run against the Baltimore Orioles during the third inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn ImagesHow to Approach Home Run Props
Home run bets are among the most volatile plays in baseball. Even the hottest sluggers fail roughly two-thirds of the time, and the math almost always favors the book. That does not mean you should avoid them. It means you should shop smart.
A few quick tips to keep in mind:
Factor in ballpark dimensions and weather. Wind blowing out at a hitter park is a big plus. Study the opposing starter. Fly-ball pitchers tend to feed home run props. Check the lineups. Even elite hitters get scheduled days off or shift to DH. Consider a same game parlay with two or three modest favorites rather than chasing one long shot.You do not need to chase the longest payout every night. Shorter prices like Judge or Ohtani still offer plenty of value if you size your bets correctly.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who has the best home run odds on Friday? Aaron Judge at +186 is the shortest price on the board. His pace, park, and matchup all support the number.
Is Coors Field really that friendly for home runs? Yes. Coors Field sits near the top of MLB home run park factors every season. Thin air and a large outfield create ideal conditions for flyball hitters.
Can you parlay home run props? Most sportsbooks allow same game and cross game parlays on home run props. The payouts climb quickly. A three-leg parlay of modest favorites can push past +9000.
What is a good starting bet size for prop bets? There is no single answer, but many experienced bettors limit individual home run plays to 1% or less of their bankroll, given the volatility of the market.
Does Ohtani pitch on Friday? No. Ohtani will serve as the Dodgers designated hitter. Tyler Glasnow gets the start on the mound.
Apr 3, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers two-way player Shohei Ohtani (17) celebrates with Dodgers right fielder Teoscar Hernndez (37) after a two run home run home run by Dodgers center fielder Andy Pages (44) against the Washington Nationals during the fourth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn ImagesResponsible Gambling and Bankroll Management
Sports betting should be fun, not stressful. A strong bankroll plan is the best way to keep it that way. Only set aside money you can afford to lose, and never chase losses by increasing your bet size after a bad run.
A few habits that help:
Stick to a flat unit size for each bet, usually 1% to 3% of your total bankroll Track every wager so you know exactly where you stand Take scheduled breaks, especially after big wins or rough losing streaks Avoid betting when you are tired, upset, or impairedIf betting stops feeling like entertainment, step away. Most states offer confidential support resources, and every major sportsbook has deposit limits, cooldown periods, and self-exclusion tools built right into the app. Use them before you need them. Good luck, and bet smart. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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