We look ahead to Friday’s international friendly at Wembley Stadium with our England vs Uruguay prediction and preview. Who will impress from the Three Lions’ final gathering before this summer’s World Cup?
England vs Uruguay: The Key Stats
England are expected to emerge victorious at Wembley on Friday, coming out on top in 58.4% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations. Two of the four previous games between England and Uruguay at Wembley have ended 0-0, with those goalless games at the 1966 World Cup and in a 1995 friendly. The Three Lions have won just two of their last 11 matches against South American nations (D5 L4), beating Brazil in February 2013 and Peru in May 2014.All roads now lead to the United States, Canada and Mexico, with Thomas Tuchel getting one final chance to finetune his England squad before embarking on a quest for World Cup glory.
Tuchel has named an increased 35-man squad for the Three Lions’ upcoming friendlies, the first of which takes place on Friday, with Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay the visitors to Wembley Stadium.
Real Madrid’s Trent Alexander-Arnold is the most notable absentee, while Jarell Quansah of Bayer Leverkusen and Arsenal’s Eberechi Eze both withdrew through injury, with Ben White and Harvey Barnes called up in their place for one last shot at impressing.
It is the first time the England squad have come together since November, when Harry Kane’s brace sealed a 2-0 win away to Albania, thus completing a perfect qualifying campaign.
England have won their last 10 competitive matches to nil, equalling the record by a European nation, with Spain doing so between October 2014 and June 2016.
It was only the second time the Three Lions have gone an entire qualification campaign without conceding, also doing so ahead of the 1990 World Cup, when they reached the semi-finals.
But they will be hoping for an even better finish in 2026, and England do often begin a new year on the front foot.
Indeed, England have won their first match in 11 of the last 13 calendar years (L2), though one of their defeats in that time was against a South American side at Wembley, losing 1-0 to Brazil in 2024.
England’s record is generally unimpressive against South American teams. They have only won two of their last 11 matches against such nations (D5 L4), beating Brazil in February 2013 and Peru in May 2014. They’re winless in five since then (D3 L2).
Tuchel will, however, be confident in the gigantic squad he has selected, which will be led by Kane, who has been in sensational form for club and country this season. He has scored 10 goals in his last 10 England appearances, including nine in his first nine under Tuchel.
Coincidentally, he also scored and assisted in Bielsa’s last match on English soil when he was Leeds United boss, a 4-0 win for Tottenham at Elland Road in February 2022.
In addition, among English players across Europe’s top five leagues, Kane leads the way with 53 goal contributions (48 goals, 5 assists) for Bayern Munich in all competitions.
But the England captain is not the only one to have been in impressive form since the turn of the year.
Anthony Gordon has scored 10 goals for Newcastle United across all competitions in 2026, with only Chelsea’s João Pedro (11) netting more among Premier League players during this calendar year.
England’s defence also more than played their part in reaching FIFA’s flagship tournament this summer. The Three Lions have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their last 12 matches, including the last six since a 3-1 defeat to Senegal in June 2025. Another shutout in this game will equal the England record for consecutive clean sheets, which was achieved between June and July 2021, a run of seven under Gareth Southgate.
However, they come up against a Uruguay side who are out for a return to winning ways as they begin their own World Cup preparations.
La Celeste lost their last match, suffering a 5-1 defeat to the United States. They haven’t lost consecutive games since suffering four defeats in a row between October and November 2021 under Oscar Tabárez.
And for Bielsa, he will manage his third game against England – he drew 0-0 at Wembley in February 2000 and lost 1-0 at the 2002 World Cup during his time in charge of Argentina. This friendly will be 26 years and 32 days since Bielsa’s last game at Wembley, a record for a manager in games versus England.
The former Leeds boss has named a big squad himself of 28 players, and will be hopeful that Federico Valverde can play a crucial role for his team, having recently inflicted misery on an English side in the UEFA Champions League.
Valverde netted a first-half hat-trick in the first leg of Real Madrid’s 5-1 aggregate win against Manchester City in the last 16 of the competition.
England vs Uruguay Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting between England and Uruguay since the 2014 World Cup, when the Three Lions were beaten 2-1 and knocked out of the tournament under manager Roy Hodgson.
England have just a 27% win ratio against Uruguay (P11 W3), only having lower against Brazil (15%, P27 W4) and Romania (25%, P12 W3) among nations they’ve faced 10+ times.
But maybe don’t expect a high-scoring game. Two of the four previous matches between England and Uruguay at Wembley have ended 0-0, at the 1966 World Cup and in a 1995 friendly.
Uruguay are one of only three nations England have drawn more than one game 0-0 against at Wembley, along with Wales (3) and Sweden (2).
England vs Uruguay Prediction
Despite England’s poor recent run against nations from South America, the Opta supercomputer has backed Tuchel’s men to get a victory here.
The Three Lions are assigned a 58.4% win probability in its pre-match simulations, while Uruguay are handed a 19.9% chance of victory. A draw is given a likelihood of 21.7%.
England vs Uruguay Squads
England: Jordan Pickford, Dean Henderson, Aaron Ramsdale, Jason Steele, James Trafford, Dan Burn, Marc Guehi, Lewis Hall, Ezri Konsa, Tino Livramento, Harry Maguire, Nico O’Reilly, Djed Spence, John Stones, Fikayo Tomori, Ben White, Elliot Anderson, Jude Bellingham, James Garner, Jordan Henderson, Kobbie Mainoo, Cole Palmer, Declan Rice, Morgan Rogers, Adam Wharton, Harvey Barnes, Jarrod Bowen, Phil Foden, Bukayo Saka, Noni Madueke, Anthony Gordon, Marcus Rashford, Dominic Solanke, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Harry Kane.
Head Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Uruguay: Sergio Rochet, Santiago Mele, Fernando Muslera, Guillermo Varela, José Rodríguez, Ronald Araujo, José María Giménez, Santiago Bueno, Sebastián Cáceres, Mathías Olivera, Joaquín Piquerez, Matías Viña, Manuel Ugarte, Nicolás Fonseca, Emiliano Martínez, Federico Valverde, Nicolás de la Cruz, Facundo Pellistri, Facundo Torres, Juan Manuel Sanabria, Maxi Araújo, Brian Rodríguez, Agustín Canobbio, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Rodrigo Aguirre, Agustín Álvarez, Federico Viñas, Darwin Núñez.
Head Coach: Marcelo Bielsa
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England vs Uruguay Prediction: Can Tuchel Keep Perfect World Cup Preparation Going? Opta Analyst.
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