By Spencer Penland on SwimSwam
2026 NCAA Division I Women’s Swimming and Diving Championships
Wednesday, March 18 – Saturday, March 21, 2026 McAuley Aquatic Center, Atlanta, GA Defending Champions: Virginia (5x) Championship Central Preview Index Psych Sheet Live Stream Live Results Live Recaps Prelims: Day 1 Finals: Day 1The 2026 Women’s NCAA Division I Swimming and Diving Championships are underway in Atlanta, Georgia. As we’ve done in previous years, we wanted to take a look at how teams have performed in recent years compared to their seeding. This is just one way to look at the performances of various teams, but the data can be pretty interesting.
Before we get into the trends, here is a reminder of the seeded scoring based on the psych sheet for this year’s meet:
SCORED PSYCH SHEETS
Rank Team Total Individual Relay Scoring Individuals Scoring Relays 1 Virginia 569.5 369.5 200 32 5 2 Michigan 334.5 178.5 156 16 5 3 Stanford 326.5 176.5 150 15 5 4 Texas 295.5 188.5 107 19 5 5 California 286 150 136 18 5 6 Tennessee 279 151 128 12 5 7 Louisville 255.5 120.5 135 11 5 8 Indiana 228.5 114.5 114 9 5 9 NC State 220 116 104 10 5 10 Alabama 89 21 68 5 4 11 Ohio State 84.5 50.5 34 8 5 12 Florida 83.5 65.5 18 8 2 13 USC 75.5 39.5 36 7 3 14 Wisconsin 72 36 36 4 4 15 Georgia 67 45 22 4 1 16 Duke 56.5 46.5 10 6 1 17 LSU 50 12 38 4 3 18 Pitt 34 28 6 3 2 19 UCLA 29 19 10 3 2 20 Auburn 20 4 16 1 2 21 Fresno State 18 18 0 2 0 22 Nebraska 15 15 0 1 0 23 Arizona 12 2 10 1 1 24 Notre Dame 11 11 0 1 0 25 VA Tech 9 3 6 1 1 25 Cincinnati 9 9 0 1 0 27 Washington State 6 6 0 1 0 28 UNC 5 5 0 1 0 29 Nevada 4.5 4.5 0 1 0 30 Arizona State 4 0 4 0 1 30 Northwestern 4 2 2 1 1 32 Penn 3 3 0 1 0 33 Princeton 2.5 2.5 0 1 0 34 Brown 2 0 2 0 1 34 Florida State 2 0 2 0 1 34 South Carolina 2 2 0 1 0Below, you’ll find a table showing the difference between actual score versus seeded score for each of the last 3 years, along with the average of those 3 years of differences.
Team Average (Last 3 Years) 2025 2024 2023 Indiana 44.17 56.5 29 47 Virginia 36.83 4 40 66.5 Stanford 31.83 70 36.5 -11 Wisconsin 26.00 37 11 30 Louisville 18.67 29.5 28 -1.5 Duke 9.00 -13 36 4 Northwestern 8.00 0 12 12 Florida State 6.00 7 1 10 Texas A&M 4.17 5 7.5 0 Arkansas 3.00 0 3 6 Virginia Tech 2.83 -13.5 -1 23 Akron 1.67 2 3 0 Minnesota 1.17 -3.5 5 2 Arizona -0.67 2 -4 0 Arizona State -0.83 37.5 -36 -4 UNC -1.33 -20.5 11.5 5 USC -1.83 15 -33.5 13 Auburn -5.00 -14 1 -2 Penn -6.33 0 -7 -12 California -8.00 16 -48 8 Michigan -9.33 -14.5 17.5 -31 Florida -12.50 -23 -14.5 0 Georgia -14.17 -8.5 -26 -8 Ohio State -14.50 -10 -15.5 -18 LSU -16.33 -8 -6 -35 Alabama -22.00 -34.5 -9 -22.5 Tennessee -31.67 -74.50 -23 2.5 Texas -37.67 -88.5 -5.5 -19 NC State -37.67 -31 -30 -52Some things jump out right away. At the top, Indiana has been performing at their very best at NCAAs over the past few years. Their worst difference over the past 3 years was the +29 they went versus seed in 2024. Last year was a high water mark for the Hoosiers, marking their highest finish in program history, along with their highest score in program history. Fittingly, last year was also their best performance versus their seed in recent memory.
Arguably even more interestingly, Virginia has the 2nd highest average over the past 3 years. The reason that’s interesting is because Virginia comes into the NCAA Championships seeded very highly. Due to that, they have far more room to slip versus their seed than to climb. Even so, they’ve consistently managed to outperform their seeding, and by a lot.
Stanford is another team that’s doing a great job of peaking at NCAAs. Over the past 3 years, the Cardinal is averaging nearly +32 points versus their seeded.
On the flip side, there are some teams that are slipping from their seeding regularly. Texas and NC State are tied for the worst average over the past 3 years, both having slipped by 37.67 points on average. For Texas, that average is largely due to a particularly rough slip last year, where she underperformed their seeded score by 88.5 points.
Tennessee is in a similar boat to Texas. Their average of -31.67 is largely due to their 74.5 point slip last year.
Read the full story on SwimSwam: How do Women’s Teams Typically Perform at NCAAs? (2026 Edition)
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