The administration of US PresidentDonald Trump is betting on internal unrest —particularly among Iranian Kurdishgroups— as part of a broader strategy to pressure the Iranian government amidthe escalating military confrontation with Tehran and its allied factions,former US diplomat William Lawrence told Shafaq News on Sunday.
Drawing on more than 15 years ofdiplomatic service in seven Middle Eastern countries, Lawrence described thecurrent war as an extension of decades of tension between Iran and itsadversaries rather than a short-lived crisis.
Read more: Between war and neutrality: Kurdistan navigates US-Iran confrontation
According to Lawrence, Trump seeksto pressure Iran’s political system and views unrest in Iran’s Kurdish regionsas a potentially positive development. Localized uprisings in IranianKurdistan, he explained, could serve as the starting point for broader internalinstability across the country.
Reports indicating Kurdish forceshave moved deeper into Iranian territory would likely suggest that those groupsreceived firm assurances of aerial support from US and Israeli aircraft.
Inside the United States
He explained that the administrationis seeking a swift outcome that could be presented domestically as a victorybefore the elections. Losing control of both the House of Representatives andthe Senate would significantly weaken Trump politically, potentially reopeningthe door to renewed impeachment efforts.
Twenty-one Countries Involved
Russia and China, he added, aresupporting Tehran through weapons supplies, intelligence sharing, and dronetechnology, though there are currently no indications that Moscow or Beijingintend to enter the fighting directly with their own forces.
For Shafaq News, Mostafa Hashem,Washington, DC.
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