The 10% Club: Opta’s Best Under-the-Radar FPL Picks for Gameweek 16 ...Middle East

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Who are the players to add to your Fantasy Premier League team for Gameweek 16 of 2025-26? We assess the Opta data to reveal our top under-the-radar picks.

It’s the final week of Premier League action before several of its stars depart for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco. You’ve probably taken Mohamed Salah out of your team already, but which other transfers should you be considering this week?

We’ve crunched the Opta data to identify five players you absolutely must consider owning on your Wildcard, despite them currently being picked by fewer than 10% of FPL managers.

GK – Caoimhín Kelleher | 4.5m | 7.7% Ownership

This is an interesting point in the fixture schedule to make FPL transfers. Half of the teams in the division have three of their next four Premier League matches at home, leaving 10 clubs that – you guessed it – only have one game in front of their own fans in this period.

When looking for a goalkeeper, we want someone who faces low-scoring teams in their next few matches. While Fulham have the kindest schedule by this measure over the next four matchdays, only one of the games is at Craven Cottage. Brentford aren’t far behind for average goals per game by opponents from MD16 to MD19 but play three times on their own patch.

Even then, their one trip is to face Wolves. That comes after hosting Leeds on Sunday, with Bournemouth and Tottenham visiting the ‘bus stop in Hounslow’ after the Bees have been to Molineux. Brentford face no side currently above 11th in their next four, the only team for whom this is the case.

This is all good news for Caoimhín Kelleher. Even if Brentford’s opponents perform better than expected, Kelleher made five saves in each of his last two appearances so is in decent form.

The Republic of Ireland international does not simply make easy stops either. Among goalkeepers owned by fewer than 10% of FPL managers, only Dean Henderson has saved more non-penalty Opta-defined ‘big chances’ (11) than Kelleher this season (nine). He can bail out his defenders in big moments when required.

DEF – Quilindschy Hartman | 4.0m | 1.0% Ownership

If Burnley are to pull away from the relegation zone, the time may have arrived. Like Brentford, they have three of their next four at home, with the Clarets welcoming Fulham, Everton and Newcastle to Turf Moor.

None of these teams currently average more than 1.4 goals per game. Neither do out-of-form Bournemouth, who are the one team Burnley face on the road before 2025 is out.

A glance at the Premier League table reveals that only Wolves have conceded more goals than Scott Parker’s side in 2025-26. There is an enormous fly in that ointment, though. If you look at the standings for home games only, there are just four teams who have let in fewer goals in front of their own fans.

Burnley have only conceded seven goals in seven games on their own patch. That’s decent going when the visitors have included Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool.

Quilindschy Hartman is one of two defenders (along with Kyle Walker) to have played every minute of every home match for Burnley this term. While he was on the bench for the first time this season last week, his replacement Lucas Pires was sent off, so Hartman should return.

As well as contributing to a solid defence at Turf Moor, the Dutchman also offers a threat creatively. Only three players can top his assist tally for this season (four), while only David Møller Wolfe has provided a higher proportion of his team’s total.

MID – Dominik Szoboszlai | 6.6m | 5.8% Ownership

The fall out from Mohamed Salah’s post-match interview after Liverpool’s 3-3 draw at Leeds has been fascinating. Everyone will wait to see if he starts against Brighton this weekend, but either way he will then join up with Egypt ahead of their Africa Cup of Nations campaign.

There would never have been a good time for this to explode, but with Federico Chiesa and Cody Gakpo unavailable in midweek, Arne Slot’s options are limited. Fortunately, he can rely upon Dominik Szoboszlai, his jack of all trades.

The Hungarian thought he’d scored the winner for the Reds last weekend after putting them 3-2 up with only 10 minutes of normal time remaining. Ao Tanaka had other ideas in the 96th minute.

Nonetheless, it was the third consecutive league match in which Szoboszlai had started in Salah’s berth on the right of the attacking trident in Slot’s 4-2-3-1 system. He created four chances at Leeds, having taken four shots in the previous match against Sunderland – in both instances, no Liverpool player topped his figure.

Szoboszlai also thrived in the position for his former clubs. He even scored a hat-trick from right attacking midfield for Salzburg. If a repeat is unlikely in the harsher climes of the Premier League, Szoboszlai should get more opportunities to score or assist with home games against Wolves and Leeds plus a trip to Tottenham on the horizon.

He has the joint-third highest expected assists in Opta’s Premier League Player Stat Predictions Table for this weekend too. Mohamed who?

MID – Harry Wilson | 5.3m | 2.5% Ownership

Fulham are not in serious danger of relegation. The Opta supercomputer rates their chances of finishing in the bottom three at just 9.1%. Even so, as they are only four points outside the drop zone, their next three matches are of extreme importance.

Marco Silva’s men face Burnley (who are currently 19th), Nottingham Forest (17th) and West Ham (18th). On one hand it’s likely their easiest three-game run of 2025-26 based on the table, on the other it could prove costly if results go against them.

They need a man to step up, to carry them away from the bottom three. That man could be Harry Wilson, a player who seems to run his own individual Goal of the Season competition every year. Plus, we’ve had an ex-Liverpool goalkeeper, a defender who played for Slot at Feyenoord and a current Reds midfielder, so why not continue the theme?

Wilson is in tremendous form. His previous seven appearances for club and country have seen the 28-year-old bag six goals and two assists. This inevitably means he is overachieving against his expected goals, but sometimes you have to go with the hot hands.

Well, hot feet. With Wilson in confident mood, he should be able to help Fulham overcome the trio of teams below them who they play next.

FWD – Evanilson | 7.0m | 1.4% Ownership

Bournemouth have won none of their previous six league games. Only Wolves are on a longer run without three points. Three of the Cherries’ next four matches are on the road, going against the logic we deployed for earlier selections. Why on Earth would we select one of their players, much less a forward with just one goal this season?

The point of this column is to go against the grain, for one thing. But it’s also to identify players with the potential for positive future performance, with their recent form less relevant.

Creating chances hasn’t been a problem for Bournemouth in their bad run. They have posted at least 1.5 expected goals in each of the previous five matchdays. Only Manchester City can say the same.

Unfortunately for Andoni Iraola, Evanilson has proven rather wasteful. He had 10 shots in the penalty box across the last four gameweeks, the most of any player in the division who failed to score in that period. The Brazilian is currently 2.82 behind his expected goals, the widest negative margin in the 2025-26 Premier League.

As Evanilson has the sixth-best xG per 90 minutes rate (among players with at least 1,000 minutes this term) and Bournemouth have been scoring more goals on the road than at the Vitality Stadium, this run should be just what he needs to get back on track.

*FPL player values and ownership data accurate as of 10 December 2025

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The 10% Club: Opta’s Best Under-the-Radar FPL Picks for Gameweek 16 Opta Analyst.

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