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With less than three weeks to go until Christmas, some bookmakers and news websites are already dreaming of a white Christmas.
Bookies such as William Hill are offering even odds of snow in Aberdeen on Christmas Day, implying a 50/50 chance, and odds of 6/1 of a white Christmas in London.
However, despite some newspaper websites declaring “UK snow forecast for Christmas” in recent days, meteorologists have warned people hoping to wake up to snow on Christmas morning to temper their excitement for now.
Liam Eslick, senior operational meteorologist at the Met Office, said its still “too early” to predict a white Christmas.
He added that early modelling is suggesting milder weather this Christmas, but some clearer signs should become apparent from next week.
He said: “Unfortunately, it is just a bit too early to tell if we are going to get a white Christmas or not this year but early model runs are suggesting a more settled period during Christmas.”
Weather expert Dr Simon Keeling said that it was wishful thinking to assume that any forecast at this time would be accurate.
Dr Keeling, who is the founder of Weatherweb.net and a former BBC weather presenter, said: “We’re still a few weeks away from the big day and whilst longer range forecasting has improved dramatically, any suggestion that a forecast is going to be spot-on this far in advance is a fantasy.
“Having said that, we can give general trends by using the latest computer models.”
Dr Keeling said that a more accurate forecast could be expected towards the middle of the month.
He said: “Realistically, we will start getting better indications around 15th December but much depends on the weather pattern at that time.
“As we get within seven days of Christmas, we can give what I call a ‘proper’ forecast, and of course as we get closer to the big-day one would hope the forecast becomes more accurate.”
Asked what people could expect over the festive period, Dr Keeling said there are “some hints” that conditions may turn a bit cooler.
He said: “After the jet stream has brought us so much unsettled, wet and windy weather this week with near average temperatures, there are some hints that temperatures may slip during the week preceding and through Christmas.”
Turning to the week ahead, the Met Office said it is looking to be an unsettled week with lots of rain and strong winds as Storm Bram hits the UK.
The Met Office said strong winds will last from Monday evening until Wednesday, with 50-60mph winds expected widely and 70-80mph in the North West. Heavy rain is also expected across western areas, with 40-60mm of rain in places, and up to 80-100mm in Wales and the South West.
Yellow weather warnings for wind and rain are in place across much of the UK on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, an amber warning for wind has been issued across parts of north-west Scotland, warning of large waves in coastal areas and potential power cuts, road and rail closures and damage to buildings with the potential of flying debris resulting in a danger to life.
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Met Office chief forecaster Dan Suri said: “Storm Bram will bring a very wet and windy spell of weather, with very strong winds and further heavy rain which falling over saturated ground, could cause flooding impacts.
“Within the amber wind warning over north-west Scotland, gusts of up to 90mph could be recorded.
“More widely, gusts of 50-60 mph, and perhaps 70mph in a few spots, are expected across Wales, South West England and Northern Ireland.”
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