We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Craven Cottage with our Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction and preview.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: The Key Stats
The Opta Supercomputer has Crystal Palace as slight favourites to come away from Craven Cottage with three points, winning 40.8% of the pre-match simulations on the back of some strong away form in recent weeks. Fulham have alternated between three defeats and two victories in their last five Premier League London derbies at Craven Cottage, losing 1-0 to Arsenal in their most recent such match in October. Crystal Palace have collected 23 points from their opening 14 games this season – it’s the Eagles’ best tally at this stage of a Premier League campaign.Matchday 14 of the 2025–26 Premier League season continues with a London derby at Craven Cottage between Fulham and Crystal Palace, the two sides having contrasting goals for the remainder of the campaign.
Fulham’s recent resurgence – with back-to-back wins over Sunderland and Tottenham – came to a halt against Manchester City in midweek, but Marco Silva’s side didn’t go down without a fight.
The Cottagers came up against the full might of Pep Guardiola’s title challengers and were 3-1 down at the break.
Fulham fell to 5-1 down within 10 minutes of the restart, but a second-half revival pushed City all the way, with Alex Iwobi and two late strikes from Samuel Chukwueze narrowing the deficit to 5-4.
Despite that impressive fightback, Fulham lost a league game at home despite scoring four goals for just the second time in their history, previously losing 6-4 to Leicester City back in September 1952.
Meanwhile, Palace bounced back from a disappointing home defeat to Manchester United by dealing a hammer blow to one of Fulham’s potential relegation rivals, beating Burnley 1-0 at Turf Moor.
Oliver Glasner had Daniel Muñoz to thank for their winning goal late in the first half, and Palace have now kept a clean sheet in seven of their 14 league games this season, second only to Arsenal’s eight.
That victory took Palace back into the Premier League’s top five – having dropped to ninth following defeat to United – and the Eagles could climb even higher to fourth if results go their way this weekend.
Fulham, sitting precariously in 15th with only a five-point gap to the relegation zone heading into the weekend, could also do with a positive result.
They will take belief from their most recent win coming against London-based opposition in the form of Tottenham, having taken a 2-0 lead through Kenny Tete and Harry Wilson inside the opening six minutes.
Chukwueze may hope to earn a starting spot after his brace off the bench against Man City. The on-loan AC Milan winger is averaging a goal or assist every 46 minutes in the Premier League, scoring two and assisting three in just 229 minutes. It’s the best minutes-per-goal/assist ratio of any player in the competition’s history (to play at least 200 minutes).
However, Palace have stopped their opposition from scoring a first-half goal in 12 of their 14 matches this season, more than any other side in the Premier League.
Furthermore, Palace’s 14 Premier League clean sheets in 2025 is the joint most of any top-flight club (alongside Man City and Arsenal), and the Eagles have kept a shutout in four of their last five league games.
Since the start of last season, Muñoz has scored more goals than any other defender in the Premier League, with seven, and the Colombian is fast becoming the first name on Oliver Glasner’s team sheet for Palace.
The Austrian may be hesitant to change a winning team – one which has won twice on the spin away from home – though alterations in the Eagles’ frontline could be in the offing, perhaps up front.
Jean-Philippe Mateta has never scored a Premier League goal against Fulham in five attempts. He’s had 10 shots and registered an xG of 1.52 without scoring against Silva’s side, and Glasner has a hungry Eddie Nketiah waiting in the wings.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head
Last season’s two meetings between Fulham and Palace both resulted in away victories, with the Eagles winning the most recent encounter 2-0 in February, as Joachim Andersen scored an own goal against his former club at Craven Cottage.
Fulham won November 2024’s reverse fixture 2-0 thanks to late goals in each half from Emile Smith Rowe and Harry Wilson.
Palace in particular will be keen to follow last season’s example, and having kept just one clean sheet in their first 12 away league games under Glasner, they’ve since recorded 11 shutouts in 20 on the road – the most of any Premier League side since December 2024.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Although Fulham’s swashbuckling 5-4 defeat to Manchester City came following two wins in a row, the Opta supercomputer is marginally in favour of an away victory, which would make it three on the bounce for Crystal Palace.
Across 10,000 pre-match simulations, Palace came away victorious in 40.8% of them, although Fulham aren’t too far behind with a 33.5% win probability.
Fulham haven’t drawn a single league match since the second week of the season, and a stalemate is seen as the least likely outcome with just 25.7% of the pre-match simulations ending level.
Fulham are winless in their last six Premier League home games against Palace, drawing and losing three matches since their 3-1 victory at Craven Cottage in January 2005.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Predicted Lineups
Fulham: Bernd Leno, Kenny Tete, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Ryan Sessegnon, Sander Berge, Sasa Lukic, Alex Iwobi, Harry Wilson, Emile Smith Rowe, Raul Jiménez.
Head Coach: Marco Silva
Crystal Palace: Dean Henderson, Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Marc Guéhi, Daniel Muñoz, Jefferson Lerma, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Yéremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jean-Philippe-Mateta.
Head Coach: Oliver Glasner
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction: Can Cottagers Continue Recent Revival Against High-Flying Palace? Opta Analyst.
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