Hearing that the latest Trump plan is a 21-part peace proposal for the Israel-Gaza conflict is unlikely to ease that unrest, given his previous ideas have involved ethnically cleansing the strip of its Palestinian population, and replacing them with a luxury resort complex.
Any references to deporting Palestinians have been scrubbed. The UN and Red Cross would be allowed to administer the delivery of aid once again. There is an eventual role for the Palestinian Authority imagined in the proposals. Hamas fighters would, in theory, be allowed to depart Gaza without violence.
The problem is that Trump has a terrible track record of converting what he thinks are warm relations with foreign leaders into diplomatic results for either America or for the world. Trump routinely confuses flattery from world leaders – including those traditionally regarded as adversaries of America – with sincere friendship. And he doesn’t seem to learn when they fail to deliver.
Most visibly, Trump has failed entirely to convert what he seems truly to believe is a friendship with Vladimir Putin into any kind of peace settlement for Ukraine – something the President complained about publicly from the lectern of the UN General Assembly.
square NEWS AnalysisTrump is backing Blair for Gaza role because he wants a scapegoat
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There is every reason to believe that Netanyahu is set to repeat Trump’s humiliations on the world stage once again with this plan. Actually dragging opposing parties into a peace deal involves endless hours of mind-numbingly detailed and intricate negotiation behind the scenes to hammer out the details.
Netanyahu has powerful political and personal reasons to resist any peace deal, let alone a reasonable one. He is in a fragile political coalition with far-right extremists who wish to permanently end the prospect of a Palestinian state, and who see victory in their sights – they would topple his government over such a deal.
More than his political future would be at stake: Netanyahu is five years into a corruption trial over gifts of champagne and cigars that could see him jailed for years, if convicted. His future freedom is tied to his political power. Even if Netanyahu personally wanted a way to end this conflict, he has lots of reasons to continue the war.
There is every risk that Netanyahu is about to do that yet again. Sometimes, having a half-decent plan just isn’t enough.
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