Whether you’ve been grinding PrizePicks since dial-up internet or you just downloaded the app because your buddy swore it’s “free money,” you’ll want an actual strategy if you plan on cashing tickets. Our PrizePicks Week 4 NFL cheat sheet does the heavy lifting, spotting the juiciest props, flashing the biggest edges, and steering you clear of those picks that look smart until your QB decides to cosplay as Zach Wilson. With a jam-packed slate, this guide is your best shot at pretending you totally knew that line was a lock all along.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 4
NFL WEEK 4 100% TD STREAKS
1⃣ Jalen Hurts — 1+ Anytime TD (6/6)2⃣ James Cook — 1+ Anytime TD (4/4)3⃣ J.K. Dobbins — 1+ Anytime TD (3/3)4⃣ Rome Odunze — 1+ Anytime TD (3/3)5⃣ Keenan Allen — 1+ Anytime TD (3/3)6⃣ Jonathan Taylor — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)7⃣ Jahmyr Gibbs — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)8⃣ Kenneth Walker III — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)9⃣ Nico Collins — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2) Davante Adams — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)1⃣1⃣ D.K. Metcalf — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)1⃣2⃣ George Pickens — 1+ Anytime TD (2/2)
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PrizePicks NFL Week 4 Line Movement
Player Team Opp Date Market Prev. Line PrizePicks Change %Change Matthew Stafford LAR IND Sun Sep 28 2:05 pm Passing Yards 232.5 255.5 23 9.9% Lamar Jackson BAL @KC Sun Sep 28 2:25 pm Passing Yards 214.5 225.5 11 5.1% Bo Nix DEN @CIN Mon Sep 29 6:15 pm Passing Yards 210.5 220.5 10 4.8% Lamar Jackson BAL @KC Sun Sep 28 2:25 pm Passing + Rushing Yards 260.5 270.5 10 3.8% Baker Mayfield TB @PHI Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Passing Yards 219.5 227.5 8 3.6% Jalen Hurts PHI @TB Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Passing Yards 188.5 196.5 8 4.2% Michael Penix ATL WAS Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Passing Yards 220.5 227.5 7 3.2% Jordan Love GB @DAL Sun Sep 28 6:20 pm Passing Yards 221.5 227.5 6 2.7% Jaxson Dart NYG LAC Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Passing + Rushing Yards 231.5 237.5 6 2.6% Caleb Williams CHI @LV Sun Sep 28 2:25 pm Passing Yards 231.5 236.5 5 2.2% Kyler Murray ARI SEA Tomorrow 6:15 pm Passing + Rushing Yards 240.5 244.5 4 1.7% Geno Smith LV CHI Sun Sep 28 2:25 pm Passing Yards 249.5 252.5 3 1.2% Sam Darnold SEA @ARI Tomorrow 6:15 pm Passing + Rushing Yards 226.5 228.5 2 0.9% Jared Goff DET CLE Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Passing Yards 226.5 228.5 2 0.9% Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ARI Tomorrow 6:15 pm Receiving Yards 82.5 84.5 2 2.4% T.J. Hockenson MIN @PIT Sun Sep 28 7:30 am Receiving Yards 34.5 36.5 2 5.8% Jordan Mason MIN @PIT Sun Sep 28 7:30 am Rushing Yards 78.5 80.5 2 2.5% Lamar Jackson BAL @KC Sun Sep 28 2:25 pm Rushing Yards 39.5 41.5 2 5.1% Sam LaPorta DET CLE Sun Sep 28 11:00 am Receiving Yards 37.5 39.5 2 5.3%
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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 4)
Cardinals vs. Seahawks TNF Picks:
Kyler Murray (ARI)1⃣ Over 209.5 Pass Yds (-114) — 100% (3/3 vs SEA, 8/11 overall)2⃣ Over 0.5 INT (-113) — 100% (2/2 vs SEA)3⃣ Over 27.5 Rush Yds (-114) — 100% (3/3)4⃣ Over 5.5 Rush Att (-114) — 100% (3/3)5⃣ Over 31.5 Pass Att (-108) — 100% (2/2 vs SEA, 7/10 overall)6⃣ Over 21.5 Pass Completions (+102) — 100% (3/3 vs SEA, 8/11 overall)
Trey McBride (ARI)1⃣ Over 6.5 Receptions (-102) — 100% (2/2 vs SEA)2⃣ Over 64.5 Rec Yds (-114) — 100% (2/2 vs SEA, 8/11 overall)
Michael Wilson (ARI)1⃣ Over 20.5 Rec Yds (-114) — 100% (4/4 vs SEA, 12/18 overall)
Sam Darnold (SEA)1⃣ Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+154) — 100% (2/2)2⃣ Over 223.5 Pass Yds (-114) — 81% (13/16)3⃣ Over 19.5 Pass Completions (-130) — 79% (11/14)4⃣ Over 30.5 Pass Att (-102) — 79% (11/14)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)1⃣ Anytime TD (+160) — 100% (2/2 vs ARI)
Tyler Horton (SEA)1⃣ Anytime TD (+410) — 100% (2/2)2⃣ Over 25.5 Rec Yds (-114) — 100% (2/2)
Anthony Barner (SEA)1⃣ Over 16.5 Rec Yds (-114) — 100% (2/2)
Kenneth Walker (SEA)1⃣ Over 53.5 Rush Yds (-123) — 67% (2/3 vs ARI)
Cooper Kupp (SEA)1⃣ Over 3.5 Receptions (-154) — 65% (13/20)
Key Tips for Building Your Entries
Understand Game Scripts Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. Look for Consistent Performers Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. Use Recent Player Trends Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. Diversify Your Picks Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. Leverage Injury Reports Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.Common Mistakes to Avoid
Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses. Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props. Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 4: Top Picks & Hit Rates Mile High Sports.
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