Aces vs Sparks: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Sept. 11 ...Middle East

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A pair of the league’s best scorers face off — A’ja Wilson (first, 23.4 points per game) and Kelsey Plum (fourth, 19.6) — when the Las Vegas Aces (29-14) visit the Los Angeles Sparks (21-22) on Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET.

Keep reading to find the best bets you can make on Thursday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

Pick the Sparks (+11) to Cover

The Aces have covered the spread 23 times in 43 games with a set spread. The Sparks have put together a 19-24-0 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 11-point favorites or more, the Aces have an ATS record of 5-4.

Over/Under is a Toss Up (168.5)

The Aces and their opponents have scored more than 168.5 points in 20 of 43 games this season. The Sparks have played 28 games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 168.5 points. These teams score 169.1 points per game combined, 0.6 more than this game’s over/under. These two teams give up 168.8 points per game combined, 0.3 more points than the total for this contest. The average point total in Aces games this season is 164.3, 4.2 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under. The average over/under for Sparks contests this season is 169.0, 0.5 more points than this game’s total.

Back the Aces on the Moneyline (-633)

The Aces have been the moneyline favorite 30 total times this season. They’ve gone 24-6 in those games. This season, the Sparks have won 10 out of the 23 games, or 43.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog. In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -633 or shorter, the Aces have a 7-1 record (winning 87.5% of their games). The Sparks have played as an underdog of +455 or more once this season and won that game. Based on this game’s moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 86.4%. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies an 18.0% chance of a victory for the Sparks.

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