Tina Charles and the Connecticut Sun (10-31) go up against the Phoenix Mercury (27-14) on Saturday, September 6, 2025 at Mohegan Sun Arena. The game will tip off at 1 p.m. ET.
Check out below to find the best bets you can make on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
Pick the Sun (+10.5) to Cover
The Mercury are 22-19-0 against the spread this season. The Sun are 21-19-1 against the spread this year. In games they were favored in by 10.5 points or more so far this season, the Mercury have gone 3-3 against the spread. In games they were an underdog in by 10.5 points or more so far this year, the Sun went 14-9 against the spread.Take the Over (161)
In 22 of 41 games this season, the Mercury and their opponents have combined to total more than 161 points. The Sun have combined with their opponent to score more than 161 points in 20 of 41 games this season. These teams are scoring 158.9 points per game between them, 2.1 fewer than this matchup’s total. Combined, these teams surrender 165.2 points per game, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under. Mercury outings this year have an average point total of 163.4, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s over/under. The Sun’s average game total this season has been 161.6, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s over/under.Back the Mercury on the Moneyline (-599)
The Mercury have won 20 of the 27 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (74.1%). The Sun have been underdogs in 38 games this season and won eight (21.1%) of those contests. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -599 or shorter, the Mercury have gone 4-1 (80%). The Sun have a record of 3-16 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +437 on the moneyline. The Mercury have an 85.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Sun have a 18.6% chance to win.Top Mercury Props
Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Kahleah Copper 16.5 – – Satou Sabally 14.5 – – Alyssa Thomas 14.5 9.5 9.5Top Sun Props
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