Mercury vs Fever: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Sept. 2 ...Middle East

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Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (21-19) take on the Phoenix Mercury (25-14) on Tuesday, September 2, 2025 at PHX Arena. The contest will tip off at 10 p.m. ET.

Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.

Pick the Fever (+6) to Cover

The Mercury have compiled a 22-17-0 record against the spread this season. The Fever have put together a 20-19-1 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 6-point favorites or more, the Mercury have an ATS record of 9-6. In games they have played as 6-point underdogs or more, the Fever have an ATS record of 1-3.

Take the Under (166.5)

Mercury games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 166.5 points 15 times. Fever games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 166.5 points in 20 of 40 outings. These two teams score 167.6 points per game combined, 1.1 more than this game’s over/under. These teams together surrender 161.8 points per game, 4.7 fewer than this contest’s over/under. The Mercury have an average total of 163.4 in their matchups this year, 3.1 fewer points than this game’s over/under. Fever games this year have had a 167.0-point total on average, 0.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Back the Mercury on the Moneyline (-242)

The Mercury have won 18 of the 25 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (72%). This season, the Fever have been the underdog 15 times and won eight, or 53.3%, of those games. The Mercury have a 12-2 record (winning 85.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -242 or shorter. This season, the Fever have been at least a +198 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests. The Mercury have an implied moneyline win probability of 70.8% in this game. The Fever have a 33.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Top Mercury Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Kahleah Copper 15.5 – – Satou Sabally 14.5 5.5 – Alyssa Thomas 13.5 9.5 9.5

Top Fever Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Kelsey Mitchell 20.5 – – Aliyah Boston 14.5 8.5 – Natasha Howard 6.5 –

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