We are just a couple of weeks out from the 2025 NFL regular season, and quarterbacks are gearing up for another season. Who will be tossing touchdowns left and right this season? Let’s check out the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook for quarterbacks to throw at least 40 touchdowns this fall.
Odds for NFL QBs to Throw 40 Touchdowns
We saw Joe Burrow throw 43 touchdowns in 2024 to lead the NFL, while Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield cracked 40 touchdowns as well. Who has a chance to do it in 2025? Take a look at the odds.
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Burrow Led NFL with 43 in 2024
(Burrow led the NFL in TD passes in 2024. Photo: Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)Joe Burrow set a career high with 43 touchdown passes in 2024 and was the NFL’s leader despite the Bengals missing the playoffs with a 9-8 record. Burrow was excellent for Cincinnati as he threw 43 touchdowns to just 9 interceptions. He completed 70.6% of the passes and had a QB rating of 108.5.
He sported a QBR of 74.7 and was part of one of the most dominant pairings in the league with Ja’Marr Chase. We saw Chase rack up 127 receptions and 17 touchdowns.
Jackson Tossed 41
(Jackson set a career high in TD passes in 2024. Photo: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports)Lamar Jackson also set a career high in 2024 as he threw 41 touchdown passes while finishing second in the MVP voting. Jackson had just 4 interceptions in an insane season that saw him post a QB rating of 119.6 and a QBR of 77.3. He had his first season of over 4,000 yards as he racked up 4,172 passing yards for the 12-5 Ravens.
Jackson was a First-Team All-Pro in 2024, but the Ravens saw their season end in the Divisional Round against MVP Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.
Mayfield Threw Career High 41 for Bucs
(Baker Mayfield was slinging the football all over the field in 2024. Photo: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images)Baker Mayfield lived up to his gunslinger reputation in 2024 as he had 41 touchdown passes for the Bucs to set a career high. Mayfield had 4,500 passing yards and completed 71.4% of his passes, which was third in the NFL. Mayfield had a rating of 106.8 and a QBR of 61.6 in the best season of his career. The Bucs finished 10-7 to reach the playoffs. Tampa Bay was beaten in the first round 23-20 by the Washington Commanders.
Mayfield set career highs in basically every category, including completions, attempts, yards, completion percentage, touchdowns, yards per attempt, and QB rating.
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