Morgan Stanley has lifted its forecast for the S&P 500, projecting the index will climb to 6,500 by mid-2026. However, the bank cautions that investors may need to remain patient, as near-term gains are likely to be held back by elevated Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and ongoing uncertainty around U.S. trade policy.
potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, a weaker U.S. dollar, and easing regulatory conditions.
Reflecting growing confidence in the global economic backdrop, Morgan Stanley also upgraded U.S. equities to Overweight.
The call comes after a strong first quarter earnings season, which helped fuel a 19% rally in the S&P 500 from its April lows. Still, the bank anticipates slower earnings growth in the quarters ahead, suggesting a more measured path forward for equity markets.
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