In their own words:
The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent on April 30. The initial estimate of first-quarter real GDP growth released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning was -0.3 percent, 2.4 percentage points above the final GDPNow estimate of -2.7 percent growth and 1.2 percentage points above the final gold-adjusted model nowcast. As explained here, the gold-adjusted model replaces what was the standard model with the onset of today’s forecast.The next GDPNow update is Thursday, May 1. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases.
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