Seismologist Naci Görür told Germany’s dpa news agency that Istanbul alone could see nearly 100,000 buildings collapse in the event of a powerful quake. “The potential death toll could reach hundreds of thousands,” Görür said, urging authorities to take immediate action to reinforce critical infrastructure and improve emergency preparedness.
Despite this risk, preparedness measures remain inadequate, Görür warned. He emphasized that current policies and urban planning efforts are "not enough to mitigate the potential devastation of a large-scale earthquake."
The warnings come as Turkiye continues to recover from the February 2023 earthquakes, which killed more than 53,000 people and injured over 100,000 in the country’s southeastern region.
Experts fear that a major earthquake in Istanbul would be devastating, given the city’s dense population, aging infrastructure, and insufficient emergency response measures.
“The time to act is now,” Görür warned. “We cannot afford to wait until it’s too late.”
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