Reminder: Elections are tough to predict ...Middle East

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The New York Times released a poll today showing Trump and Harris deadlocked. That's bad news for the Harris campaign as she had previously been leading. Combined with betting odds shifting in Trump's favor and it's starting to feel like we've hit a tipping point.The bond market has been selling off steadily today, which reads like a Trump trade. At the same time, the stock market has been selling off steadily after opening higher and is down on the week.So what gives? Surely there are some people making election bets but real money knows better. Elections are very tough to predict.I think we all remember the polling errors in 2016 and 2020 but here is a reminder from Bespoke of what the pol

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