For better or worse, this year’s presidential campaign has already been full of shocking developments. The latest occurred less than two weeks ago, when President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Vice President Kamala Harris stepped in as the presumptive Democratic nominee. That came less than a month after a disastrous debate performance by Biden in June – and barely a week after Republican nominee Donald Trump was shot by a would-be assassin. Conventional wisdom loudly declared Biden’s reelection hopes dead in the water following the June debate. A few weeks later, pundits widely assumed the assassination attempt would make Americans more sympathetic to Trump. Public opinion surveys,
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