Political handicappers almost universally expect that Democrats will lose their paper-thin majority in the House of Representatives this year. However, if it’s closer than expected, what happens in a handful of California congressional districts could make the difference. On paper, Democrats should make gains in California this year, perhaps as many as five seats, thanks largely to how an independent redistricting commission changed the state’s 52 congressional districts after the 2020 census. Demographic changes, particularly increases in the state’s Latino population, and continued erosion of Republican voter registration meant that most of the 11 Republican-held districts wound up with sm
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