By Meteorologists Tyler Ory, Chris Dolce, Briana Waxman
(CNN) — A storm causing historic flooding, evacuations and rescues in the Southwest is now pushing into the central United States, where it will bring soggy weather on Election Day on Tuesday.
The conditions will be much less serious on Election Day but could still affect turnout in key races across the nation’s midsection. Active weather tends to suppress voter turnout while sunshine has the opposite effect, multiple studies have found.
Rain is finally easing up in the Southwest after the storm dropped multiple months’ worth of it, causing waterways to burst their banks and forcing evacuations in a least a dozen counties across parts of Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico.
Crews in Arizona are still searching for a missing man who fell into fast-moving floodwater in Flagstaff and have conducted rooftop rescues around Sedona.
Over 10 rivers, creeks and washes in Arizona and southwest Colorado have now surged past major flood stage — the highest level — and a few have set new record crests. Flooding of some swollen waterways could last through at least Tuesday.
Record flooding is unfolding along the Little Colorado River near Winslow, Arizona, and the Gila River near Solomon, Arizona. The Gila River is more than 2 feet higher than the level capable of flooding several homes and businesses on the north sides of Solomon, Safford and Thatcher, Arizona, according to the National Weather Service.
In Colorado, evacuations have been ordered along the San Juan River in Pagosa Springs, which has surged past major flood stage for the second time in about 10 days. Sunday evening’s crest there was nearly 2 feet higher than the destructive flooding on October 23.
Storm pushes east for Election Day
The storm is now pushing into the Plains and Midwest with gusty winds and soaking rain.
Severe thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon into the night across the central and southern Plains, including in Dallas-Fort Worth, Oklahoma City and Wichita, Kansas. Damaging winds are the primary threat, but a few tornadoes are also possible.
The storm will lose some of its strength on Election Day, but rain will impact voters from the Great Plains and Upper Midwest south through the Mississippi Valley to the western Gulf Coast. Key races in Iowa, Kansas, eastern Texas and northern Michigan will deal with wet conditions.
Isolated severe storms are possible from eastern Texas to the lower and middle Mississippi Valley. The threat of flooding rain is low, but voters traveling to the polls could encounter ponding on roads.
Dry weather will sandwich the storm along much of the East Coast and in the West. Some showers in Florida, northern New England and Northern California are the only exceptions.
Across much of the country, there will be little need to bundle up to go vote. High temperatures in most of the nation’s eastern half are forecast to be 5 to 20 degrees Fahrenheit above average. Some portions of the Southwest and Plains will lean a bit cooler than average.
Key race forecast
Georgia: Mostly dry except for possible isolated showers in southern Georgia starting in the morning at the coast then spreading inland through afternoon. Highs will hit the 70s and 80s. Iowa: Rain is likely, with the heaviest totals falling over the eastern portion of the state on Tuesday morning. Additional showers could sprout up in western and central Iowa from the morning through the afternoon. Highs will reach the 60s but could lean cooler in the northwest corner. Kansas: Scattered showers and windy conditions are likely, especially in northern Kansas from morning into early afternoon. Gusts will range from 20 to 40 mph much of the day. Highs will range from the 40s and 50s in the northwest portions of the state to the 60s in the east. Maine: Scattered showers are possible across the northern and western portions of the state starting in the morning but will become more likely through the afternoon. Highs will range from the 40s in the state’s north to the 60s in the south. Michigan: The Upper Peninsula has the highest rain chances throughout the day. A few showers could also clip northern Lower Michigan. Highs will range from the 60s in the Upper Peninsula to the mid-70s in Lower Michigan. New Hampshire: A stray shower or two is possible in northern portions of the state, especially by the afternoon. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s in the north and near 70 in the south. North Carolina: Mostly dry with highs in the 70s. Ohio: Mostly dry with highs in the 70s. Texas: Eastern and coastal Texas will likely see rain from west to east throughout the day. Houston’s best chance of storms is in the afternoon. A few severe thunderstorms are also possible. Highs will range from the 80s near the coast to the 60s in the state’s panhandle and west Texas.The-CNN-Wire™ & © 2026 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.
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