Can Uzun to Arsenal transfer prediction: Will the ‘new Berbatov’ join the Gunners? Football Whispers Index score ...Middle East

Arsenal have made initial contact with the representatives of Eintracht Frankfurt attacker Can Uzun, according to CaughtOffside on 21 October.

The 20-year-old Turkey international is under contract until 30 June 2029, and Frankfurt are reported to have asked for €60m.

We have put the rumour through the Football Whispers Index to see how likely a move is.

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Can Uzun to Arsenal rated ‘Possible'

The Football Whispers Index scores every transfer rumour across five weighted factors. Read how it works here.

Can Uzun to Arsenal

The Index gives the move 51 out of 100, one point above the line between Possible and Unlikely.

The five pillars add up to 53, and a net two-point deduction for competition, with Arsenal reportedly leading a crowded field but also weighing other options on the left, gives the final score.

The money works for Arsenal and the left wing is short of specialists, but Frankfurt have no pressure to sell and the reporting so far stops at one call to an agency.

The most decisive fact is that every outlet carrying the story is repeating the same CaughtOffside exclusive, and that exclusive goes no further than an enquiry to 11WINS.

Financial viability

On the model's affordability test the money works best for Arsenal, with a €60m fee at about 7% of revenue, although revenue is not the same as the transfer budget Arsenal have set aside.

The wage gap is wide, because Uzun's basic pay is a fraction of the £15.6m a year Saka earns, so any Arsenal contract would be a large rise for him, although no wage offer has been reported.

Frankfurt paid a total of up to €14m for Uzun in 2024, so a €60m sale would return more than four times that outlay, the kind of profit the club has made on Omar Marmoush and Hugo Ekitike.

Frankfurt's figure has already moved in negotiation, with July reports pointing to a compromise nearer €40m plus a sell-on share, which would take the ratio below 5%.

Buying club need

Arsenal's need is real but narrow, because Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze can cover the left but are better in other roles, and Mikel Arteta is reported to want competition for Tzolis.

The output comparison does not favour Uzun, since Tzolis's numbers came in the Belgian league and Uzun's in the Bundesliga, but the gap is wide enough that Uzun would not be an obvious upgrade on the man he would be competing with.

Uzun's age points to a long-term investment more than the immediate cover Arsenal appear to be seeking, which holds this pillar at the midpoint.

Player motivation

The step up in competition is the strongest case for the move, because a 20-year-old would swap a season without European games for Champions League football.

That gain comes with a cost in minutes, because even after being left among the substitutes against Koln he is a regular at Frankfurt and would most likely begin as a rotation option behind Tzolis.

Turkish outlets had Uzun open to leaving in July, but those reports concerned Galatasaray, his childhood club, and nothing on record has him pushing for a move to Arsenal.

Selling club incentive

Frankfurt's record with Marmoush and Ekitike shows they will sell for a high price, though Krosche's summer line that there was no sign Uzun would leave points the other way.

Price is the live issue, as Galatasaray's July offer fell well short of the €60m ask and no deal was reached.

No replacement has been reported at Frankfurt, which makes losing a leading attacker in January harder to justify than a sale next summer.

Market momentum

The sourcing is the weak point, because Yahoo, Football365, TEAMtalk and footy.de have all repeated the CaughtOffside exclusive rather than confirmed it.

Brugge intend to keep Tresoldi through January according to TEAMtalk, which leaves Uzun as the only one of the pair a winter deal could involve, although Frankfurt's stance makes that harder.

Aston Villa, Brighton and Everton are only reported to be monitoring Uzun, so Arsenal are not alone, but none of the clubs named has been reported to have made an offer.

Can Uzun to Arsenal: Will or won't it happen?

The timing may decide it, because the reports point to a move at some point next year and Frankfurt would find a summer sale easier than a January one.

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