We look ahead to Tuesday’s Champions League blockbuster at the Bernabéu with our Real Madrid vs Inter prediction and preview. Will either make a winning start to the league phase?
Real Madrid vs Inter: The Key Stats
Real Madrid have won all four of their UEFA Champions League games against Inter this century, and are the Opta supercomputer’s favourites for victory here at 56.0%. Madrid have won each of their last seven home matches against Inter. Inter have failed to win any of their last 13 away games against Spanish opposition (D4 L9).José Mourinho will be reunited with former colleague Cristian Chivu at the scene of their greatest triumph when Real Madrid lock horns with Inter in a blockbuster UEFA Champions League opener.
It was at the Bernabéu where Chivu was part of Mourinho’s Inter side that beat Bayern Munich 2-0 in the 2010 Champions League final. The former left-back played the opening 68 minutes as Diego Milito’s brace helped the Nerazzurri complete the treble, adding to their Scudetto and Coppa Italia triumph.
Mourinho subsequently departed to embark on his first stint in charge of Madrid. The Champions League was the only major honour that eluded him there, despite guiding Los Blancos to three successive semi-finals.
He oversaw 36 games in the competition with Madrid, and won 24 of those (66.7%). Only Carlo Ancelotti (68.8%) has a better win ratio with the club among managers with 10 or more Champions League games in charge.
Madrid also scored in 97% of those matches (35) – the highest percentage by any team with 20 or more games under a specific manager.
Madrid drew a blank on Friday, though, as they suffered their first defeat since Mourinho’s return in a 1-0 loss against Real Betis. Vinícius Júnior (30 goals, 22 assists).
Another goal here would see the France skipper move level with former Madrid striker Raúl (71) and become the joint-fifth leading marksman in European Cup/Champions League history.
Go Deeper:
Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League Top Scorers
4 months ago Matt FurnissAt the other end of the field, Lautaro Martínez brace – sandwiching Marcus Thuram’s header – completed an inspired turnaround, as Inter recovered a two-goal deficit to beat Napoli in Serie A for the first time.
Martínez’s stoppage-time winner means he has now scored 133 goals for Inter in the Italian top flight. That moves him joint-third with Stefano Nyers on the club’s all-time list, behind only Giuseppe Meazza (197) and Benito Lorenzi (138).
Recap inter’s famous win:
Serie AInter 3-2 Napoli Stats: Delirium at San Siro as Lautaro Martínez Completes Historic Comeback Win
2 days ago Chloe HorswillReal Madrid vs Inter Head-to-Head
Madrid have won six of their last seven meetings with Inter (L1), including all four Champions League showdowns this century. Inter have faced them the most times in major European competition since 2000 without recording a victory.
Inter have failed to score in three of those ties. Only against Barcelona, between 2003 and 2009, have they gone four successive European Cup/Champions League matches without finding the net.
You must go back to a 5-1 victory at Valencia in 2004-05 for the last time the reigning Serie A champions beat a Spanish opponent away from home, failing to do so in their 13 such matches since (D4 L9).
By contrast, Madrid have won 19 of their last 21 games against Italian clubs (L2). They have also prevailed in each of their last seven home meetings with Inter, keeping four clean sheets during that span.
Real Madrid vs Inter Prediction
The Opta supercomputer favours a home victory, giving Madrid a 56.0% chance of winning.
Inter’s chances of prevailing are rated at 22.3%, with a draw at 21.7%.
Madrid have won their Matchday 1 fixture in 17 of their last 19 Champions League campaigns (L2). They have also won 14 of their last 16 matches in the group stage/league phase (L2).
Meanwhile, Inter lost five of their final six matches in last season’s competition (W1). That is as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 39 Champions League outings (W25 D9).
Real Madrid vs Inter Predicted Lineups
Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Yan Diomande, Brahim Díaz, Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé
Head coach: José Mourinho
Inter: Josep Martínez, Benjamin Pavard, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Luis Henrique, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Petar Sučić, Federico Dimarco, Lautaro Martínez, Marcus Thuram
Head coach: Cristian Chivu
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 16,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Real Madrid vs Inter Prediction: Champions League Preview Opta Analyst.
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