After starting their Premier League campaign with a dismal defeat to Hull City, can Michael Carrick’s Red Devils get back on track? We look ahead to Sunday’s late kick-off with our Man Utd vs Ipswich prediction and preview.
Man Utd vs Ipswich: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer is backing Manchester United to get their season up and running on Sunday, as they have a 66.4% chance of beating Ipswich Town. Man Utd could lose their opening two games of a Premier League season for only the third time, previously doing so in 1992-93 and 2022-23. Michael Carrick is winless in his three managerial meetings with promoted clubs in the Premier League (D1 L2). His team could become the first in Premier League history to start a season with back-to-back losses against promoted sides.There was a familiar sinking feeling for Manchester United last week, as they made a losing start to a Premier League season for the fourth time in seven years.
And the nature of their latest Matchday 1 defeat – a 2-0 loss to promoted Hull City that came via two set-piece goals in the first half – set alarm bells ringing for United supporters.
Michael Carrick shot down suggestions his team had failed to match Hull’s passion and intensity as “ridiculous”, but he must address United’s struggles at both ends of the pitch quickly, with the pressure on ahead of another meeting with promoted opposition on Sunday.
Gary O’Neil’s Ipswich Town are the visitors to Old Trafford, and they will make the trip high on confidence after beating Sunderland 2-1 in their opening game of the campaign.
The Tractor Boys could now start a top-flight season with two wins for just the fourth time, having also done so in 1974-75 (finished 3rd), 1980-81 (2nd) and 1993-94 (19th).
United, meanwhile, could lose their first two games of a Premier League season for only the third time, with their previous slow starts coming in 1992-93 and 2022-23.
In their entire league history, the Red Devils have only started a league campaign by losing their first two matches without scoring once, back in 1933-34.
The Red Devils will hope that a quirk of the fixture list provides them with a chance to get back to winning ways, as they are the first team to open a Premier League campaign with two matches against promoted sides since Bournemouth in 2019-20 (faced Sheffield United and Aston Villa). It is the third time United have done so, after 2001-02 (Fulham, Blackburn Rovers) and 2009-10 (Birmingham City, Burnley).
But Carrick has a poor record against Premier League new boys since turning his hand to management, even after overseeing United’s impressive end to 2025-26.
Carrick is winless in his three Premier League meetings with promoted clubs (D1 L2), averaging 0.33 points in those matches, compared to his 2.47 points-per-game average against non-promoted teams with United (P17 W13 D3 L1).
No team has ever started a Premier League season with back-to-back defeats to promoted sides, with only three teams doing so in English top-flight history (Everton in 1902-03, Sheffield United in 1929-30, and Bristol City in 1977-78).
After seeing his attackers underperform against Hull, Carrick might be tempted to introduce Benjamin Sesko also pushing for a start in place of Jack Clarke – one of the heroes of their promotion-winning campaign – who came off the bench to net their last-minute winner.
Former Toulouse striker Harry Maguire score the decisive goal in a 3-2 victory for United, who also had Dorgu sent off.
Ipswich are winless in their last seven Premier League games against United (D2 L5) since a 3-2 home win in September 1994. The first game in this winless run was a 9-0 defeat at Old Trafford in March 1995, which is still the joint-record loss in Premier League history.
Man Utd vs Ipswich Prediction
Despite United’s poor start to the season, the supercomputer is very much forecasting them to get back on track this weekend.
Across 10,000 data-led simulations of Sunday’s game, United were victorious in 66.4% of scenarios, with Ipswich’s chances of an away win rated at just 15.3%.
A point would still represent a positive result for the Tractor Boys, though, and 18.3% of our simulations saw them earn a draw.
Man Utd vs Ipswich Predicted Lineups
Manchester United: Senne Lammens, Noussair Mazraoui, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw, Youri Tielemans, Kobbie Mainoo, Bruno Fernandes, Bryan Mbeumo, Marcus Rashford, Benjamin Sesko.
Head coach: Michael Carrick:
Ipswich Town: Kjell Scherpen, Dara O’Shea, Issa Diop, Jacob Greaves, Leif Davis, Marcelino Núñez, Sasa Lukic, Abdul Fatawu, Julio Enciso, Daizen Maeda, Emersonn.
Head coach: Gary O’Neil
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off on Sunday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Man Utd vs Ipswich Prediction: Premier League Preview Opta Analyst.
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