Drawing the 1.02 is the quiet sweet spot of any draft. You don’t have the pressure of the top slot, but you’re still guaranteed one of the two best players in the pool. The guy in front of you took his pick, and now the board tells you exactly what to do. Let’s get into it.
The Pick: Bijan Robinson
Take Bijan Robinson. If Jahmyr Gibbs is off the board, this is the easiest decision you’ll make all draft, and if somehow Gibbs slid to you, this is still a coin flip you can’t lose.
4for4 has Robinson as the overall No. 2 in standard scoring, right behind Gibbs and ahead of every receiver in the pool. The market backs it up too, with Robinson going second across basically every platform’s ADP. When the rankings and the draft boards agree on your guy at your slot, you stop overthinking and turn in the card.
Here’s why the Falcons back belongs here:
He’s already proven it. Robinson has back-to-back top-four finishes at running back. Like Gibbs, this isn’t a projection or a leap of faith. It’s a two-year résumé at the position that matters most in standard scoring. The receiving profile is elite. Robinson led all running backs in yards per route run last season, which is exactly the kind of pass-game usage that keeps a back involved on every down and floors out his weekly production. He’s well-rounded as a runner. There’s no glaring hole in his rushing profile, from elusiveness to yards before contact. He wins in more than one way, which is what separates a true bell cow from a volume-dependent one. The 2026 opportunity got bigger. Atlanta has a stack of vacated running back carries to redistribute this season. More touches for a back this efficient is the arrow you want pointing up when you’re spending a top-two pick.Put simply: high floor, high ceiling, and a workload that should only grow. That’s the profile you take at 1.02 without blinking.
Dec 7, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs the ball against the Seattle Seahawks during the game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn ImagesIf You Want to Zag: The Alternatives at 1.02
Maybe Gibbs is gone, you’ve got Robinson staring at you, and you still want to talk yourself into something different. Here’s the rest of the tier and when each one actually makes sense.
Ja’Marr Chase (WR, Cincinnati)
The first receiver off the board and the pick if you’re set on opening with a wideout. Chase’s underlying metrics sit at the very top of the position, and in a good week he’s the best receiver in fantasy football. The catch is a big one: it all hinges on Joe Burrow’s health. A functional Burrow makes this a smash pick. A hurt one makes the 1.02 a scary place to find out.
Jonathan Taylor (RB, Indianapolis)
Your value flag in this range. 4for4 ranks Taylor inside its top five overall, but his average draft position slips several spots later, the widest gap in the top tier. That disconnect means the market may be underrating a back who reclaimed a full workhorse role and posted a top-two standard finish last season. He’ll likely still be there a bit later, but know that the numbers love him more than the room does.
Christian McCaffrey (RB, San Francisco)
The boom-or-bust option. Healthy, CMC’s pass-game usage gives him a weekly RB1 ceiling almost no one can match. But the injury history is impossible to wave off after a lost 2024, and his between-the-tackles efficiency has slipped from its peak. Higher variance than the backs ranked around him, which is a lot to stomach this early.
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Nov 24, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) rushes for a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the second half at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn ImagesThe Bigger Takeaway: Why Running Backs Dominate the Top
Look at the top four again and notice that three of them are running backs. That’s not a fluke, and it’s the real lesson of drafting near the top in standard leagues.
4for4’s rankings run on Value Over Replacement, which measures how much better a player is than the replacement-level option at his position. Without PPR inflating receiver scores, the drop-off from an elite bell-cow back to a middling one is steep, while the receiver pool stays deeper for longer. That scarcity is exactly why backs like Gibbs, Robinson, and Taylor cluster at the top of a standard board.
So when you take Robinson at 1.02, you’re not just grabbing a great player. You’re grabbing the scarcest kind of great player, one pick after the guy who did the same thing. That’s how you win the 1.02.
Rankings and metrics via 4for4, standard scoring, as of August 7, 2026. ADP and player situations shift through the preseason, so double-check the board before your draft.
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