The Twins are sending Joe Ryan for testing on his glute and back, manager Derek Shelton told reporters on Wednesday (link via Dan Hayes of The Athletic). He’s questionable to make his scheduled start on Sunday and might wind up on the 15-day injured list.
Although it doesn’t seem like a huge concern, there has clearly been something off in recent weeks. Ryan took a 2.85 earned run average into his second career All-Star selection. He was unquestionably Minnesota’s best pitcher in the first half and among the top arms in the American League. That hasn’t at all been the case coming out of the Break.
Ryan served up six home runs to a usually punchless Guardians lineup in his first start of the second half. Minnesota skipped his next start, citing arm fatigue. Ryan returned after an eight-day break and pitched six innings against Kansas City, allowing four runs on eight hits. He faced the Royals again last night and gave up five runs (four earned) across 5 1/3 frames, allowing seven hits while recording only three strikeouts.
The 30-year-old righty has taken the loss in all three starts. He has allowed 17 runs in his past 15 1/3 innings, only striking out 10 of his last 73 opponents. His four-seam fastball averaged 92.1 mph yesterday, his lowest in a start since early May and more than a tick down from his 93.4 mph season mark.
Minnesota traded for Dean Kremer last week to add back-end rotation depth. That pushed Zebby Matthews to Triple-A. He’d be the obvious candidate to return to the rotation if Ryan needs an injured list stint. Matthews cannot come up if the Twins only want to skip one start, though, as he’d need to spend 15 days in Triple-A unless he’s replacing a pitcher who goes on the injured list.
The Kremer acquisition was one of a handful of pitching moves from the front office. They also added Jeff Hoffman and A.J. Minter to an inexperienced bullpen. Hoffman has plenty of closing experience and opened this season in the ninth inning for the Blue Jays. There was some thought that he’d draw into the ninth with his new club, but Shelton confirmed this week that Hoffman will pitch in a setup role (via Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star-Tribune).
Breakout righty Yoendrys Gómez will hold the closer role. Acquired from the Rays in a DFA trade in May, Gómez has provided the Twins with 32 2/3 innings of 1.93 ERA ball. He has fanned a slightly above-average 24% of opponents against a less than ideal 11% walk rate. While the underlying marks aren’t exactly dominant, Gómez hasn’t blown a lead since landing in the Twin Cities and is 13-13 in save chances. The 26-year-old has found a home with the Twins, his fifth team in the past three seasons.
Minnesota’s deadline pickups added about $8MM to this year’s payroll. They entered deadline season around $101.4MM but have pushed that to roughly $109.3MM, as shown on MLBTR’s new Payroll Tracker. They assumed nearly $3.5MM for Minter, around $3.2MM for Hoffman, and approximately $1.8MM on Kremer. Minter is a rental and they can decide whether to tender Kremer an arbitration contract for 2027 that’d land in the $7-8MM range. They also took on $7.25MM of Hoffman’s $11MM salary for next year.
Ownership said there’d be midseason payroll space if the team was competitive enough to add. They acted upon that, though they’re still nowhere close to last year’s season-ending $130MM payroll. The organization had spent north of $150MM back in 2023. They’ve dramatically pulled back spending in recent years, citing the collapse of their local broadcast contract and an outsized amount of debt the franchise had incurred. They paid off the debt by enlisting new minority investors over the winter, while Tom Pohlad took the lead role in ownership from his brother Joe Pohlad at the same time.
Tom Pohlad met with reporters after the deadline and said the team plans to increase payroll in 2027. “I’m not hoping. It will be higher,” he replied when asked if he hoped the deadline adds were a precursor to more spending next year (link via Matthew Leach of MLB.com). “I’ve been consistent, right? For us to accomplish the things that we want to accomplish, and be a consistently competitive team in the playoffs, and going deep, we have to make an investment into this team. We did that in a small way at the trade deadline. You’ll see more of it next year.”
Minnesota has $50.25MM in guaranteed commitments to Pablo López, Byron Buxton, Victor Caratini and Hoffman. Buxton can earn significantly more than his $15MM base salary through plate appearances and MVP bonuses. They’ll also have a hefty arbitration class between Ryan, Kremer, Bailey Ober, Trevor Larnach, Royce Lewis and first-time eligible players Taj Bradley and Kody Clemens.
Minnesota’s biggest question to begin the offseason is whether to issue an approximate $23.1MM qualifying offer to Ryan Jeffers, which there’s a decent chance he’d accept. If they don’t issue the QO, they wouldn’t receive any compensation if Jeffers signs elsewhere.
That’d make not trading him at the deadline feel like a missed opportunity if they don’t secure a long shot playoff berth. The Twins are 1-4 since they made the Minter trade that kicked off their deadline buy. The White Sox and Guardians also keep losing, so they haven’t really dropped any ground in the AL Central or Wild Card picture. The Tigers have won four straight, however, and they’d jump into third place in the division if they beat Seattle tonight.
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