Poll after poll have shown two issues – the economy and access to healthcare – are the most important concerns for American voters.
The White House knows it and Donald Trump’s top aides have repeatedly urged him to focus on these subjects when speaking to the public.
You might have assumed what from the president said in a prime time address on Thursday – a mash of wild claims apparently not backed by evidence that China actually interfered with the 2020 election and long-debunked allegations the country’s election system was “vulnerable” to attack – that Trump has not been told about such polls.
Or you might more wisely conclude Trump is very much aware of the economic pain millions are suffering as a result of his policies and has chosen to try and distract people rather than addressing the rising cost of living and the spike in petrol prices triggered by his decision to go to war with Iran.
FBI director Kash Patel holds a name card as he arrives before President Donald Trump speaks at the White House. (Picture: Saul Loeb/Pool via AP)Some believe it’s more than simple distraction and fear, as he did ahead of the 2020 election which he falsely claimed was rigged, he is trying to undermine confidence about the November midterms and create the kind of false emergency that would permit him to deploy the National Guard or federal agents to Democratic Party strongholds in an effort to dilute turn-out.
“Trump is again trying to drum up baseless election conspiracies ahead of the November elections,” New Jersey Democratic Senator Andy Kim wrote on X ahead of the speech.
It is typical that the party not controlling the White House loses one or both of the chambers of Congress during a midterm election. With the president’s approval as low as 37 per cent, Democrats believe if there’s a “Blue wave” they could win both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
While Trump’s name is not on the ballot in November, were he to be in such a situation for the last two years of his presidency, any Republican-led initiatives would rapidly be stalled and Democrats could force members of his administration to testify over everything of the president’s handling of the Epstein files to the unprecedented way Trump and his family have been able to amass a fortune during his second term.
It emerged earlier this month the president had made billions of dollars during his return to the White House, a figure made up of crypto currency earnings and other holdings.
US Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrive at Donald Trump’s speech. (Picture: Saul Loeb/Pool via AP)Critics have said there is no precedent for such a sum and accused the president of corruptly using his position to line his own pockets, a claim he denies.
(On Thursday it was reported the White House official who usually operates Trump’s teleprompter, Gabriel Perez, had been placed on unpaid administrative leave after allegedly making more than $100,000 by betting on the content on more than a dozen of Trump’s speeches.)
The president appears acutely aware of the dangers he faces on election day and has been trying to limit Republicans losses by pushing for a bill – the so-called Save America Act – that critics say would intentionally prevent millions of legitimate voters casting a ballot.
Last week, Trump fired the last three remaining Democrats on the Election Assistance Commission, a step he was able to take after the conservative-majority Supreme Court ruled he had the right to control such supposedly independent bodies.
Trump has even admitted in a fair election Republicans could struggle to ever win again. Urging his party to scrap the filibuster – a device that limits the ruling party in the Senate – and pass the enhanced voter ID requirements, he said in June in a post on Truth Social the “Republican Party will never win another election.
He added: “I will, sadly, be the last Republican President.”
Trump returned to the topic on Thursday.
“I ask you to pick up your phone tomorrow, call your representatives in the House and Senate, and demand that they pass the Save America Act without delay,” he said.
Trump did speak briefly about about healthcare, referring to the savings accounts the government has established to allow people to pay directly for their care rather than through insurance companies,
He then switched sharply to claims the US “deep state” and intelligence agencies covered up an attempt by China to disrupt the 2020 election.
“There’s no third world country that has elections like we have,” he said.
Yet Trump appointed the people who headed the intelligence agencies and assured the election was fair.
Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick Donald Trump’s speech. (Picture: Saul Loeb/Pool via Reuters)The Wall Street Journal reported previously that US intelligence released in March 2021 a finding with “high confidence” that Beijing considered an influence campaign to affect the outcome of the 2020 election but ultimately did not use it.
The New York Times’s national security reporter Julian Barnes wrote that the “documents released by the White House do not back up his sweeping claims”. He added: “Trump is speaking about voter files acquired by China, but these are publicly available records.”
It is typical for American television networks to broadcast a presidential address when the commander in chief is talking about issues judged to be of national importance.
Given many of Trump’s previous speeches from the Oval Office have had a clear partisan bias, some stopped showing them in their entirety.
On Thursday NBC and CBS decided not to show the address while ABC showed part of it. Cable channel CNN also declined while the Trump-friendly Fox showed it.
The president is now 80 years old and the subject of almost daily claims about his weakening mental and physical acuities.
It is impossible for an ordinary person to make a fully informed conclusion on such issues.
Yet it does seem clear that four months from the vital elections, Trump is doing everything he can to try and find a victory not by defending his record but by muddying the waters for the other side and interfering in the process.
When Trump made false claims about the elections in 2020 we saw the resulting violence and chaos when hundreds of his supporters stormed the US Capitol to try and stop Joe Biden being confirmed as president.
After his address on Thursday, Democrats and others opposed to Trump, will surely feel the urgent need to light a watch fire, keep their eyes wide open and remain on a state of very high alert.
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