Some last-minute mocks, sourced intel, and info for this weekend’s MLB Draft, which kicks off Saturday. The schedule looks like this:
Day 1: Saturday, July 11 (Rounds 1-4)
Day 2: Sunday, July 12 (Rounds 5-20)
11:30 a.m.-7:30 p.m. ET (MLB.com, MLB.TV, MLB+)The Chicago Cubs pick 23rd in the first round, then have their second rounder at number 62, and then have a compensatory pick (Kyle Tucker) at 75. From there, the Cubs select 24th in each round.
A variety of last-minute tidbits …
One thing you take away from all the reading about this year’s draft? The top is very strong, but after that, it’s a morass of dozens of guys about whom different orgs may have vastly different opinions. That means the Cubs, picking at 23, may very well get a top-15 guy on their draft board, and ALSO may be able to maneuver with their bonus pool to get an under-slot signing (like last year with Ethan Conrad). Pull that off, and there might be a large group of particularly signable high schoolers this year in the middle rounds on whom you can use those pool savings. (Kiley McDaniel gets into that here, but the short version is that, with fears that the draft could change dramatically in the new CBA, borderline high school players might be more amenable to signing this year rather than wait and risk a totally different system that features a lot fewer rounds and a lot less money.) In their most recent mock, MLB Pipeline sent the Cubs righty, Cameron Flukey, whom we’ve discussed before. Here’s Pipeline’s thinking:“If things shake out like this, with that long run of college hitters, that could lead the Cubs to honing in on college arms. Flukey gets the spot this week, but there’s a group Chicago could consider, including Kuhns, Carlon, Southern Cal’s Mason Edwards and Mississippi’s Cade Townsend.”
In their penultimate mock (the final must come out RIGHT before the draft), BA sends the Cubs Georgia catcher Daniel Jackson in the first round:“I’ve previously mentioned a lot of college pitching options with the Cubs, but I’ve heard from a number of people recently that they expect a college bat with a track record. If Chris Hacopian or Ace Reese slide here, they could be great options. Or they could be a fit for Georgia products like Daniel Jackson or Jarren Advincula.”
Keith Law’s final mock sends the Cubs Louisville outfielder Zion Rose:“I think the Cubs would really like to get Rose, and if he’s gone, I wonder if Logan Hughes would be a fit here, just given his outstanding hard-contact rates.”
Speaking of Hughes, that’s who McDaniel sends the Cubs in his final mock:“The Cubs have been linked to some of the potentially underslot college outfielders, akin to what they did last year in taking Ethan Conrad to help set up some later high school picks, such as breakout prospect OF Josiah Hartshorn. I think this would be the floor for some of the college pitchers who are off the board in this scenario.”
McDaniel goes two rounds deep in his mock, also sending the Cubs Jack Natili, a catcher from Cincinnati, and shortstop Jaxon Willits from Oklahoma, who, yes, is Eli’s older brother. Mike Axisa’s final mock at CBS sends the Cubs UCLA righty Logan Reddemann:“Reddemann was a potential top 10 pick before being shut down with what was vaguely described as “arm fatigue” in mid-April. The Bruins were quickly eliminated in the postseason, so Reddemann never got back on the mound for them even though it was expected to happen at some point. He attended the Draft Combine last month, so he threw for teams and took a physical. The Cubs are unafraid of assuming injury risk to get big upside (Ethan Conrad, last year’s first-rounder, had shoulder surgery a few weeks before the draft) and Reddemann offers it.”
A piece at BA talks about how maneuvering slot is being made a little trickier by the new draft schedule (through round four on the first day, so no overnight calls with potential picks in, say, rounds three and four to gauge signing price). And McDaniel’s piece notes that, relatedly, some of the typically-signable college juniors in the third through seventh round range, might be getting big NIL money to return to campus. Teams can still take and sign those guys, but it might be a little pricier than historically would’ve been the case, and there might not be much under-slot savings on mid-round college juniors (historically, a staple play for the Cubs). Lance Brozdowski and Jim Callis identify four possible first round targets for the Cubs:.@LanceBroz & @jimcallisMLB are dropping 4️⃣ names they think the Cubs could take in the first round of tomorrow’s MLB Draft ? pic.twitter.com/fYHJikl3dY
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