Can Rudi Garcia’s side breach Spain’s impenetrable defence? We look ahead to Friday’s FIFA World Cup quarter-final with our Spain vs Belgium prediction and preview.
Spain vs Belgium: The Key Insights
Spain overcame Belgium inside 90 minutes in a convincing 59.3% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer. Belgium have failed to beat Spain in their last 11 meetings across all competitions, losing the last five by an aggregate score of 13-1. Spain have kept a record six consecutive clean sheets at the World Cup, going over 10 hours without conceding.Belgium will hope they are hitting form at the perfect time ahead of Friday’s World Cup quarter-final against Spain in Los Angeles.
Rudi Garcia’s side were not entirely convincing despite topping Group G, before pulling off a tremendous comeback to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra-time in the round of 32.
Belgium followed that up with a comprehensive 4-1 thrashing of co-hosts United States in Tuesday’s last-16 clash.
With much pre-match contention over Folarin Balogun’s availability for USA, Belgium let their football do the talking as Romelu Lukaku added one each.
Despite becoming just the second Belgian player (after Marc Wilmots in 2002) to score in three consecutive World Cup fixtures, Lukaku will likely be left out of the starting XI again here. All three of his goals at this tournament have come as a substitute, with only Cameroon’s Roger Milla (4 in 1990) ever netting more from the bench at a single World Cup edition.
Lukaku’s striking form also matches Belgium’s success in front of goal overall. Their shot conversion rate of 12.1% at this tournament is their second-highest at a World Cup on record (since 1966), only behind the 15.2% they managed at Russia 2018.
Garcia’s side are creating more chances, too, averaging 21.4 shots per game at this year’s edition (107 shots in 5 games), second only to their 24 per game in 1970.
Although Belgium appear to have clicked in attack, breaching Luis de la Fuente’s defence will be a very difficult task.
Spain kept their sixth consecutive clean sheet in Monday’s 1-0 win over Portugal, marking a World Cup record. La Roja have not conceded at the World Cup in a remarkable 10 hours and nine minutes.
Indeed, at this year’s tournament, they are averaging an xGA-per-game of just 0.30 – the lowest on record by any team in an edition of the finals.
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