Will Argentina continue their FIFA World Cup defence or can Egypt do what Cape Verde came close to and bring their campaign to an end? Find out with our Argentina vs Egypt prediction and preview.
Argentina vs Egypt: The Key Insights
Argentina’s win probability is a massive 70.4%, according to the Opta supercomputer. The defending champions have won their last-16 matches at the previous five FIFA World Cups, with Italy the only ones to go out at this stage when they lost 2-0 to France in 1986. Egypt have scored (8) and conceded (9) in each of their last six World Cup games – only Ghana have a longer such run (2010 to 2022).Mohamed Salah‘s fitness for the match against Australia due to a hamstring injury, but the star attacker completed the 120 minutes and converted a chipped penalty in the shootout.
Salah has created 16 chances at this World Cup and will match the record for an African player set by Kevin-Prince Boateng (18) for Ghana in 2010 if he creates two here.
Should the Pharaohs manage to pull off an upset against Argentina, a meeting with Colombia or Switzerland awaits in the quarter-finals.
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Argentina and Egypt will be locking horns in the World Cup for the first time.
Their last meeting was a friendly in Cairo in 2008, with Argentina winning 2-0 thanks to goals from Sergio Agüero and Nicolás Burdisso. Messi missed the game due to injury.
Argentina are on an eight-game winning run against African nations at the World Cup, with two of those coming in this edition (3-0 vs Algeria, 3-2 vs Cape Verde). No side in the competition’s history has won three games against African opponents in a single edition before.
Argentina vs Egypt Prediction
It is hard to see past Argentina in this match, with the defending champions having a 70.4% win probability inside 90 minutes, based on the Opta supercomputer’s 25,000 pre-match simulations.
Egypt managed to pull off a shock victory in 11.7% of the projections, with 17.9% ending in a draw that would result in extra-time again.
However, this is the shortest time between games for both teams and they had to come through an additional 30 minutes in the last 32, so fatigue and injury could have a major influence on the outcome.
Argentina vs Egypt Squads
Argentina: Juan Musso, Gerónimo Rulli, Emiliano Martínez, Nicolás Tagliafico, Gonzalo Montiel, Lisandro Martínez, Cristian Romero, Nicolás Otamendi, Facundo Medina, Nahuel Molina, Leandro Paredes, Rodrigo De Paul, Valentín Barco, Giovani Lo Celso, Exequiel Palacios, Thiago Almada, Alexis Mac Allister, Enzo Fernández, Julián Alvarez, Lionel Messi, Nico González, Giuliano Simeone, Nico Paz, José Manuel López, Lautaro Martínez.
Egypt: Mohamed El Shenawy, El Mahdy Soliman, Mostafa Shobeir, Mohamed Alaa, Yasser Ibrahim, Mohamed Hany, Hossam Abdelmaguid, Ramy Rabia, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Ahmed Fatouh, Karim Hafez, Tarek Alaa, Emam Ashour, Mostafa Zico, Hamdi Fathy, Mohanad Lasheen, Nabil Emad Dunga, Marwan Attia, Mahmoud Saber, Trezeguet, Hamza Abdelkarim, Mohamed Salah, Haissem Hassan, Ibrahim Adel, Omar Marmoush, Zizo.
Argentina vs Egypt Predicted Lineups
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Argentina vs Egypt Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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