We look ahead to what could be a fascinating match in Group I at the World Cup with our Norway vs France prediction and preview.
Norway vs France: The Key Insights
France have a win probability of 55.4% against Norway, making them the Opta supercomputer’s favourites. Norway have created 10 big chances at this World Cup, the most of any team in Group I and already one more than they managed in their previous participation (nine in 1998). This will be the first men’s World Cup meeting between Norway and France.Julian Ryerson after he limped off in the 13th minute against Senegal, although his replacement Jules Koundé for the right-back spot.
Norway vs France Head-to-Head
This will be the 16th meeting between Norway and France but the first since Les Bleus claimed a 4-0 friendly win in Paris in May 2014.
Norway have won only two of the two teams’ previous 10 competitive matches, with their last victory a 2-0 success in a European Championship qualifier in Oslo in June 1987.
However, Norway have never beaten a fellow European nation at the World Cup (P5 D2 L3), while France have won each of their last five against European opposition – a run that includes victories of England, Croatia and Belgium.
Norway vs France Prediction
With Norway possibly making a number of changes, it is perhaps not a surprise that the Opta supercomputer has France as the favourites.
Les Bleus won 55.4% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations, while 21.6% of them ended in a draw – a result that would be enough for France to top the group.
Norway’s win probability stands at 23.0%, so they have roughly a one in five chance of taking all three points.
Norway vs France Squads
Norway: Ørjan Nyland, Sander Tangvik, Egil Selvik, Kristoffer Ajer, Leo Østigård, David Møller Wolfe, Fredrik Bjørkan, Marcus Pedersen, Torbjørn Heggem, Sondre Langås, Henrik Falchener, Julian Ryerson, Morten Thorsby, Patrick Berg, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard, Fredrik Aursnes, Kristian Thorstvedt, Thelo Aasgaard, Antonio Nusa, Oscar Bobb, Jens Petter Hauge, Alexander Sørloth, Erling Haaland, Jørgen Strand Larsen, Andreas Schjelderup.
France: Brice Samba, Mike Maignan, Robin Risser, Malo Gusto, Lucas Digne, Dayot Upamecano, Jules Koundé, Ibrahima Konaté, William Saliba, Théo Hernández, Lucas Hernández, Maxence Lacroix, Manu Koné, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Michael Olise, N’Golo Kanté, Adrien Rabiot, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Rayan Cherki, Maghnes Akliouche, Ousmane Dembélé, Marcus Thuram, Kylian Mbappé, Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué, Jean-Philippe Mateta.
Norway vs France Predicted Lineups
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Norway vs France Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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