The FIFA 2026 World Cup is barreling toward a serious heat crisis, with more than a third of its matches flagged for dangerously hot and humid conditions. An NPR analysis of two decades of temperature data across the 16 North American host cities shows that 39 games, including the third-place playoff and the final, carry a high risk of heat illness for players, referees, fans, and workers.
The analysis, which cross-referenced match start times with historical weather patterns, used the wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) metric to measure heat risk. WBGT accounts for humidity, shade, and solar radiation, making it a stronger predictor of heat stress than air temperature alone. Jennifer Vanos, a heat policy researcher at Arizona State University, says the danger is clear. “All hot weather is dangerous, but hot, humid weather tends to be more dangerous.”
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