The Reds have gone 3-7 in their last ten games, bringing them to 33-36 on the season and last place in the NL Central. Neither the pitching nor the offense have been especially good this year, with the team’s rotation, bullpen, and lineup all placing in the Bottom 10 in the league by fWAR. A key factor on the rotation side is the health of Hunter Greene. According to Charlie Goldsmith of Charlie’s Chalkboard, Greene will begin a rehab assignment in the Arizona Complex League on June 18th.
Greene underwent surgery in March to remove bone chips from his throwing elbow. He was accordingly placed on the 60-day injured list before the season began. Based on earlier comments from manager Terry Francona, the plan is for Greene to return before the All-Star break. Assuming he requires four rehab starts, Greene could return for the June 7-9 series against the Phillies or from June 10-12 versus the Cubs. In either case, he’d made his second start after the All-Star break.
Greene pitched to a 2.76 ERA in 45 starts from 2024-25, missing time due to right elbow soreness and then a groin strain. He struck out 29.2% of opposing hitters in that span and held them to just a .596 OPS. That performance confirmed that Greene could dominate in the Majors if only he could stay healthy. He’s not had the chance to do that in 2026, but Greene should re-assume his role as the ace upon his return.
Chase Burns – who, like Greene, is a former No. 2 overall pick – has stepped up admirably in the meantime. In 75 2/3 innings, Burns has a 2.14 ERA and a 29.6% strikeout rate. The former is fourth-best among qualified starters, while the latter ranks third-best, just ahead of reigning NL Cy Young winner Paul Skenes. Beyond Burns, Andrew Abbott is the team’s only other qualified starter, and his 4.10 ERA is decent but hardly inspiring. Brady Singer, Nick Lodolo, and Rhett Lowder currently occupy the other three rotation spots. They range from just okay (Lowder) to below replacement level (Singer and Lodolo). Greene’s eventual return will benefit the group overall by shifting those three lower in the pecking order.
A couple bullpen arms are on the mend as well, with Goldsmith adding that Pierce Johnson and Emilio Pagán will throw live batting practice on Monday and Friday, respectively. Johnson, who came to the Reds on a one-year deal this offseason, had a 3.27 ERA in 22 innings before going down with right elbow inflammation on May 30th. His 21.7% strikeout rate is his lowest since 2018 and a 3.1% drop from last year’s mark with the Braves. Johnson’s 4.01 SIERA paints him as a middle reliever, and that’s probably the role he’ll take once he gets back.
Pagán, out since May 6th with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain, will probably require more time than Johnson. After suffering his injury, Pagán told reporters he expected to be out for four to eight weeks. This Wednesday will mark six weeks since his IL placement, so an early July return could be a reasonable target depending on how long of a rehab assignment he needs. Pagán struggled badly in 14 innings pre-injury, but he had a 2.88 ERA and 32 saves last year, so he’ll serve as the closer when he returns.
Turning to the offense, the Reds announced this morning that catcher Jose Trevino was activated from the 10-day injured list, with P.J. Higgins optioned to Triple-A. Trevino returns after a month-long absence due to a left hamstring strain. He’s only made 32 plate appearances around two IL stints, the other being for a thoracic spine strain in April. Higgins didn’t do much to fill in while Trevino was out, recording four hits in a scattered 16 at-bats. Higgins could be designated and outrighted if a 40-man spot is needed, though he could refuse it after being outrighted last month.
In minor news, utilityman Sam Haggerty has joined the organization on a minor league deal, according to an announcement from the Reds’ Triple-A affiliate. Haggerty was released by the Rangers a week ago after they designated him for assignment. Haggerty has a 12 wRC+ in 47 plate appearances this year but was right around average in 182 PA last year. A switch-hitter, Haggerty has a 119 career wRC+ against southpaws and is a reasonable, no-risk depth pickup.
Photo courtesy of Katie Stratman, Imagn Images
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