Before the US commence their FIFA World Cup campaign, we look ahead to Saturday’s Group D clash with our United States vs Paraguay prediction and preview.
United States vs Paraguay: The Key Insights
Predicting victory for the co-hosts, the Opta supercomputer gives the United States a 39.8% chance of winning their opener. With a 33.6% probability of success, Paraguay aren’t fancied to reverse the result from one previous World Cup meeting – a 3-0 win for USA. That encounter came at the inaugural finals in 1930, when Bert Patenaude scored the first World Cup hat-trick – it’s still the USA’s joint-largest win at the tournament.Aiming to seize some early momentum, Group D rivals Paraguay and the United States will meet in Los Angeles on Saturday.
For the first time, three countries are co-hosting a World Cup, and the States join neighbouring Mexico and Canada in hoping to harness proud home support.
The Stars and Stripes have just a 1.2% chance of actually lifting the trophy according to Opta’s supercomputer, but that doesn’t mean they can’t dream.
First, Mauricio Pochettino’s side must negotiate a tricky group, in which games against Australia (June 19, Seattle) and Türkiye (June 25, Los Angeles) also await.
One final tune-up before the big show began ended in defeat for the US, who were beaten 2-1 by Germany in Chicago last week despite Antonio Sanabria was Paraguay’s top scorer en route to the finals with four goals, though as the most prolific substitute in South American qualifying (three), he might be better off starting on the bench.
United States vs Paraguay Head-to-Head
This will be just the second World Cup meeting, with the United States winning 3-0 in 1930.
The only other competitive contests were at the Copa América: a 3-1 win for Paraguay in 2007, followed by a 1-0 victory for the States nine years later.
In friendlies played this century – including that American home win last November – the US lead 3-1.
United States vs Paraguay Prediction
Following 10,000 pre-match simulations, the Opta supercomputer predicts success for the United States, with a 39.8% chance of victory.
Paraguay prevailed in 33.6% of those simulations, leaving a draw rated at 26.6%.
United States vs Paraguay Squads
United States:
Matt Turner, Matt Freese, Chris Brady, Sergiño Dest, Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson, Auston Trusty, Miles Robinson, Tim Ream, Alex Freeman, Mark McKenzie, Joe Scally, Tyler Adams, Giovanni Reyna, Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic, Brenden Aaronson, Sebastian Berhalter, Cristian Roldan, Malik Tillman, Max Arfsten, Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright, Folarin Balogun, Timothy Weah, Álex Zendejas.
Paraguay:
Roberto Fernández, Orlando Gill, Gastón Olveira, Gustavo Velázquez, Omar Alderete, Juan José Cáceres, Fabián Balbuena, Júnior Alonso, José Canale, Gustavo Gómez, Alexandro Maidana, Diego Gómez, Mauricio, Andrés Cubas, Damián Bobadilla, Alejandro Romero, Julio Enciso, Braian Ojeda, Matías Galarza, Ramón Sosa, Antonio Sanabria, Miguel Almirón, Álex Arce, Gabriel Ávalos, Gustavo Caballero, Isidro Pitta.
United States vs Paraguay Predicted Lineups
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United States vs Paraguay Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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