Bournemouth vs Man City, the Longest Unbeaten Runs of the Season, and Whether Anything Will Give ...Middle East

On Tuesday night, the two teams with the longest unbeaten runs in the Premier League this season meet on the south coast. Who will come out on top?

Manchester City head to Bournemouth on Tuesday night aiming to keep the title race alive.

Assuming Arsenal beat Burnley on Monday, five points will separate the top two, and City will go into their game knowing they must win to take the race to the final day of the season.

In some sense, this is the perfect opponent for them when they’re under pressure. City’s 94.1% win rate against Bournemouth is the highest for any side against a specific opponent in Premier League history (minimum 10 games), having won 16 of their 17 meetings.

However, the Bournemouth they face this week are a much more formidable side than the one they beat with typical ruthlessness consistently over the past decade. In sixth place with two games to play this season, Andoni Iraola has his side in contention for what would have been considered impossible for a club of their size only a few years ago. They could qualify for the Champions League.

They won’t roll over for City, who are hoping to make sure they don’t go a second successive season without winning the Premier League. After a run of 14 games without defeat, City have stormed back into the title race and are trying desperately to reel Arsenal in at the top of the table. Anything other than a win on Tuesday could end their pursuit.

This run of form has been characteristic of City. They often hit their stride through the spring and, if anything, it is a surprise that they have drawn four of those 14 games, and that three of those have come against relegation-threatened sides.

Theirs is one of the best unbeaten runs all season. In fact, only one team has been on a longer run without defeat in the Premier League in the whole of 2025-26.

It just so happens that that team is Bournemouth. And that run is, like City’s, currently ongoing.

Iraola’s side come into this game having gone 16 games without defeat. Since their 3-2 home loss to Arsenal on 3 January, Bournemouth have not tasted defeat in four and a half months, rising from 15th to sixth in that time. It means that their game against City pits the Premier League’s most in-form teams against one another.

It is only the 13th time in Premier League history that a match has been contested between teams who are both on unbeaten runs of at least 10 games. The two most recent of those have involved one of Bournemouth or City: City (27 games unbeaten) vs Arsenal (10) in September 2024 and Bournemouth (11) vs Liverpool (18) in February 2025.

Premier League Matches Between Teams on 10+ Game Unbeaten Runs

A closer look at that list reveals that 10- or 11-game unbeaten runs are common, but there have only been two occasions in Premier League history on which two teams have met while both were on runs of at least 14 games without defeat. Bournemouth vs City will be just the third.

The previous two were Chelsea vs Liverpool in October 2008 and Man City vs Newcastle in November 2011. It therefore hasn’t occurred in almost 15 years.

So, what normally happens when two teams on long unbeaten runs meet? Are they both so difficult to beat that they always cancel each other out? Is a draw at the Vitality Stadium on Tuesday an inevitability?

In short: no. Four of the 12 games between teams on runs of 10+ games unbeaten have ended in a draw which, at a rate of 33%, is only slightly above the rate at which games have been drawn in Premier League history (25.6%). Neither of the two games between teams on runs of 14+ games unbeaten ended in a draw, either.

Meanwhile, when looking for a pattern in terms of whether the more in-form team won more often than not, there are only five games we can analyse. That’s because of the eight non-drawn games between teams who are 10+ matches undefeated, three were between teams on equal-length unbeaten runs. Each of them involved Man City in the early part of their 2011-12 title-winning season, and they won all three.

Of those five matches between teams on unequal-length unbeaten runs (of at least 10 games), interestingly, the team on the shorter run has won four (80%), which would appear to favour City this time out. The exception was, however, the most recent of the bunch: when Liverpool, on an 18-match unbeaten run, beat Bournemouth, who were 11 games unbeaten, 2-0 last year.

There is no pattern whatsoever, meanwhile, when looking at whether league position has any effect on the result. Of the eight non-drawn matches between teams on 10+ match unbeaten runs, four have been won by the team that went into the game higher in the table, and four were won by the lower of the teams. Of the two between teams on 14+ unbeaten runs, one was won by the higher-placed side, the other was won by the lower of the two.

So, ahead of Tuesday night’s game, it doesn’t appear as though there is much to glean from the past 12 Premier League meetings between two teams who haven’t lost in a long time.

Maybe, if we are to take anything from these past games, it is that this rare set of circumstances – rather than, as the cliché goes, in derbies – is when form really does go out of the window.

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Bournemouth vs Man City, the Longest Unbeaten Runs of the Season, and Whether Anything Will Give Opta Analyst.

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