The Lions travel to the Tigers’ lair in the Championship play-off semi-finals on Friday night. We look ahead to the first-leg clash with our Hull City vs Millwall prediction and preview.
Hull City vs Millwall: The Key Stats
Millwall edged the Opta supercomputer’s pre-match predictions, winning the first leg against Hull in 38.8% of its simulations. Hull City have won the first leg in all three of their previous EFL play-off semi-finals, but Millwall have not lost any of their last six such ties. Millwall’s Femi Azeez is one of just two Championship players to have both scored 5+ goals and provided 5+ assists in 2026.Hull City will hope their final-day heroics can inspire further Championship play-off success when they host Millwall in Friday’s semi-final first leg.
Sergej Jakirović’s side snatched sixth place on the last day of the regular season. Having fallen behind to Mohamed Touré’s early opener against Norwich City, Alfie Doughty and Yu Hirakawa will both be assessed late on their return to fitness.
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19 hours ago Matt FurnissHull City vs Millwall Head-to-Head
Late goals from Jake Cooper’s opener.
Neil’s side may have been slightly fortunate, though, considering Hull amassed an expected goals tally of 3.04 to Millwall’s 1.38 in that fixture.
However, that defeat is Hull’s only loss to Millwall in their last five home games against them (W3 D1).
Millwall will also be looking to win consecutive meetings against Hull in all competitions for the first time since April 2011.
Hull City vs Millwall Prediction
The Opta supercomputer struggled to split these two teams across 10,000 pre-match simulations, though Millwall narrowly edged the first leg in 38.8% of data-led scenarios.
Hull still boast a 35.2% chance of a crucial victory in the opening meeting, while the draw came in at 26% to tee up a one-legged shootout at The Den next Monday night.
Hull City vs Millwall Predicted Lineups
Hull City: Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, Paddy McNair, Charlie Hughes, Ryan Giles, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Mohamed Belloumi, Liam Millar, Joe Gelhardt, Oli McBurnie.
Head Coach: Sergej Jakirovic
Millwall: Anthony Patterson, Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Barry Bannan, Casper De Norre, Femi Azeez, Thierno Ballo, Camiel Neghli, Mihailo Ivanovic.
Head Coach: Alex Neil
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off on Friday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Hull City vs Millwall Prediction: Can Tigers Draw First Blood In Championship Play-Offs? Opta Analyst.
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