New Polling: Increasingly pessimistic, North Carolinians favor more guardrails on presidency ...Middle East

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New Polling: Increasingly pessimistic, North Carolinians favor more guardrails on presidency

A Catawba-YouGov survey finds that while North Carolinians are pessimistic about the nation’s political future, they are strongly united in support of constitutional checks and balances. (Photo: Clayton Henkel/NC Newsline)

A new poll conducted for the Center for North Carolina Politics & Public Service finds that a majority of North Carolinians — 56% — believe that the future of the United States’ political climate will be negative. Only 18% believe the future political climate will be positive.

    Notably, of those respondents who said they supported Donald Trump 2024’s presidential bid, 47% were negative about the future of the nation’s political climate, while only one-third were positive. Among those who supported Kamala Harris, 73% said the political climate was trending negative. Only 9% felt optimistic about the political climate moving forward.

    The latest Catawba-YouGov survey of 1,000 North Carolinians also offered a hypothetical scenario in which the U.S. Supreme Court strikes down a policy as unconstitutional, but the president continues to enforce that policy, arguing that the Court is wrong. To even the playing field, respondents were randomly assigned a Democratic or Republican president.

    Six out of ten North Carolinians said the president’s defiance of the Supreme Court would in fact violate the Constitution. Majorities of Republicans, independents and Democrats all agreed on that point.

    Two-thirds said a president who willingly ignored the Supreme Court posed a serious threat to American democracy, and 64% of those surveyed said Congress should hold the president accountable for defying the court.

    “North Carolinians aren’t just rejecting presidential overreach — they’re also signaling that Congress has a responsibility to respond when those boundaries are crossed,” said Dr. Michael Bitzer, director of the Center for North Carolina Politics & Public Service.

    The Catawba-YouGov poll also found that majorities across the political spectrum support the system of checks and balances in our government. That includes 59% of Republicans, 68% of independents, and 79% of Democrats surveyed for this poll. Just 17% of respondents said it was more important for the government to operate in a quick, decisive manner than within a system of checks and balances.

    “Taken together, the findings suggest that while they are pessimistic about the direction of national politics, North Carolinians remain firmly committed to our constitutional framework — and wary of leaders who challenge it,” Bitzer said in a statement.

    Impact of the Iran war, economic stress

    A separate poll released in early April by Elon University finds that President Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to slide. In that poll, 35% of North Carolinians approved of the job he is doing as president, while 55% disapproved.

    Jason Husser, director of the Elon University Poll, says Trump’s favorability is being pulled down by the opposition of a majority of respondents (51%) to U.S. military involvement in Iran.

    “This, not surprisingly, falls on highly partisan lines. 61% of Republicans supported the conflict with 20% opposed. Democrats, on the other hand – 7% supported the conflict with 81% opposed,” Husser told NC Newsline. “Importantly for President Trump, who requires independents to be successful in North Carolina, 17% of independents in the state supported military involvement in Iran. 58% were opposed.”

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    Husser said the economy is further souring how North Carolinians feel about a second Trump administration.

    Only 45% of Republicans surveyed said that the economy had gotten better since President Trump took office last year, while 17% of Republicans in the Elon sample said it had gotten worse. Among independent voters, 65% said the economy was worse.

    When asked to assign a letter grade, 47% gave the national economy a grade of “D” or “F.” Just 20% said the current economy earned an “A” or “B.”

    “Those are the perceptions I think that are probably the most important numbers when it comes to the November election right now,” said Husser. “If there’s this continued perception that cost of living and affordability issues are such a problem, then we’re likely to see voters reward and punish accordingly.”

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