We look ahead to Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League game at the Parc des Princes with our PSG vs Liverpool prediction and preview. Can the reigning champions keep their title defence on track?
PSG vs Liverpool: The Key Stats
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites to take a first-leg advantage in the quarter-final, winning 53.2% of the Opta supercomputer’s pre-match simulations versus Liverpool. The holders have been eliminated at the quarter-final stage in four of the last five Champions League editions, with Real Madrid in 2022-23 the exception in that run. These two sides have met on six previous occasions in European competition, with both registering three wins each – PSG eliminated Liverpool on penalties in the UCL round of 16 last season.There’s another heavyweight clash coming in the UEFA Champions League as holders Paris Saint-Germain attempt to keep their title defence alive against Liverpool in the quarter-finals.
Though PSG had to go through the play-offs to reach the knockout round proper, they stormed through the last 16, beating Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate, with three-goal wins in both legs.
Liverpool, meanwhile, had to come from behind to earn their place in the last eight; having lost 1-0 away to Galatasaray in the first leg, they thumped the Turkish side 4-0 at Anfield to set up another tie with PSG.
Luis Enrique’s side got the better of Liverpool in the round of 16 last season, and have a knack for beating English teams in recent times.
PSG are unbeaten in their last six Champions League games against English sides (W5 D1), including also facing Tottenham Hotspur (5-3 win) and Newcastle United (1-1) in the league phase.
And they have progressed from all four of their knockout-stage ties against such opponents since the start of last season (Liverpool, Aston Villa, Arsenal and Chelsea).
PSG are playing in the quarter-finals for the third straight Champions League campaign, which is as many times as the Parisians reached the last eight across the previous eight seasons in the competition.
But the holders have been eliminated at the quarter-final stage in four of the last five editions of the competition. Real Madrid (in 2022-23) are the only team to progress to the semi-finals in that run.
PSG will feel confident they can also buck that trend, having gone unbeaten in their last seven knockout-stage matches in the Champions League (W6 D1), and a win on Wednesday would equal the longest run by a French side in the competition (8 by Lyon – April 2004-March 2006).
Liverpool will be desperate to stop that streak, though, especially with the need to put another recent slump behind them.
While the Reds fought their way through against Galatasaray, overturning a first-leg deficit to progress from a two-legged knockout tie in the competition for just the third time (in 8 attempts), elsewhere, they are under pressure.
Liverpool have won just two games (D1 L4) since the start of March. They have lost their last two, going down 2-1 to Brighton in the Premier League, before Man City thrashed them 4-0 in the FA Cup quarter-finals on Saturday.
Liverpool have lost 15 matches across all competitions this season, their most defeats in a single season since 2014-15, when they lost 18 matches under Brendan Rodgers.
With Arne Slot starting to come under real pressure, a win over PSG would be most welcome for the Dutchman.
Expect plenty of goalmouth action. Up to the start of this quarter-final round, PSG (90) and Liverpool (85) were the two teams with the most shots on target in the Champions League this season.
While PSG have scored 34 goals from 25.2 xG this term (+8.8), though, Liverpool have netted just 24 times from 27.7 xG (-3.7).
If they are to change that metric, Florian Wirtz could play a key role. He has created 27 chances from open play in nine Champions League games for Liverpool. The most by a player in their first 10 games for a club in the competition (on record since 2003-04) is 32 by Mesut Özil for Real Madrid, while Wirtz’s total is already the most on record by a player for an English club through 10 appearances.
Dominik Szoboszlai, meanwhile, leads all Liverpool players in the competition this season for goals (5), assists (4), progressive carries (85), possession won (69) and high-intensity pressures (414).
But PSG have an in-form threat of their own. Since the start of 2025, only Kylian Mbappé (18) has been directly involved in more Champions League goals than Paris Saint-Germain’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (16 – 10 goals, six assists).
This season alone, he has been directly involved in 11 goals in 11 games (7 goals, 4 assists). It is already the joint-second most by a PSG player in a single edition (level with Mbappé, 2020-21) and trailing only Ousmane Dembélé from last season (14 in 15 games).
PSG vs Liverpool Head-to-Head
PSG and Liverpool have met on six previous occasions in European competition, with both registering three wins each.
Their most recent meetings came in the Champions League last season, where both won 1-0 away from home in the round of 16, before the Parisians won a penalty shootout at Anfield to progress (4-1).
In last season’s round-of-16 tie between these sides, Liverpool averaged just 38.6% possession and had 14 fewer shots on target than PSG across the two legs (4 for, 18 against). It is their biggest negative shot-on-target differential in a Champions League knockout-stage tie on record (since 2003-04).
PSG vs Liverpool Prediction
Despite both teams triumphing away from home in their clash last term, PSG are tipped to use their home advantage this time around.
The Opta supercomputer gives PSG a 53.2% chance of victory, with Liverpool’s chances sitting at 24.3%. A draw is slightly less likely at 22.5%.
PSG vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain: Matvey Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaïre-Emery, João Neves, Vitinha, Désiré Doué, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé.
Head coach: Luis Enrique
Liverpool: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Mohamed Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitiké.
Head coach: Arne Slot
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off in Paris on Wednesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Enjoy this? Add Opta Analyst as a preferred source by clicking here.
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
PSG vs Liverpool Prediction: Can Champions League Holders Fend Off Slumping Reds? Opta Analyst.
Hence then, the article about psg vs liverpool prediction can champions league holders fend off slumping reds was published today ( ) and is available on The Analyst ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( PSG vs Liverpool Prediction: Can Champions League Holders Fend Off Slumping Reds? )
Also on site :
- Britney Spears Spends Time With Diane Warren and Molly Shannon After DUI
- 'You should resign': Mamata hits out at PM Modi's silence on Pakistan's threat to strike Kolkata
- This Guitarist Helped Shape One of the Most Iconic Sounds of the '90s